Tote Always SP Or Better At Downpatrick Handicap Hurdle

Downpatrick

15:50

Date 2023-07-13

Distance 2m1f165y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6	Thornleigh Frank Bay J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Mark Fahey	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Mark Fahey	161	—	857-67	94	103	81	44d	—	—	-4	17.2	10/3 23%
Beaten a fair way in three maidens; of limited appeal now entering handicaps
7	Cest Quelquun Black J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	159	—	03P15-	92	102	16	135d	—	—	+8	21.3	11/2 15%
GBP8,000 buy out of Sean Curran's; respected from top yard
10	Millies Dream Bay J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	156	p	0/9-94	89	91	96	4d	—	—	+1	13.1	13/2 13%
Sunday's Sligo fourth now has cheekpieces fitted; definite player
13	Chancer Dancer Bay J:Conor Orr T:Noel C Kelly	J:Conor Orr T:Noel C Kelly	150	t	0P-426	83	111	108	21d	—	—	+1	10.9	11 9%
Limited maiden but trip/ground to suit so place claims
2	Trishknowsbest Bay J:Mark McDonagh(5) T:Mrs Prunella Dobbs	J:Mark McDonagh(5) T:Mrs Prunella Dobbs	166	ht	2957-U	99	102	87	70d	—	—	+7	14.4	12 8%
C&D winner last year, needs to bounce back from 2 below-par runs in the spring; yard debut
9	Kellies Dream Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	156	—	0/157-	89	107	80	287d	—	—	+5	11.7	12 8%
Returns from 10 months' absence here but runs well fresh so respected from an in-form yard
4	Clear The Clouds Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	163	—	4205-4	96	107	92	69d	—	—	-3	17.7	11/4 27%
Player on the best of his form although wants it softer
1	Sovereign Duke Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Jody McGarvey T:John Joseph Hanlon	166	—	P/0-25	99	107	75	40d	—	—	+7	14.4	14 7%
Didn't stay 2m5f last time; drop in trip to suit but won't want much rain
3	Ask The Leader Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:D M Christie	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:D M Christie	164	t	10-24F	97	107	82	9d	—	—	+5	14.4	14 7%
Downpatrick specialist ideally wants a bit further but has to be respected
5	Sula Warrior Bay J:Liam McKenna(5) T:J G Cosgrave	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:J G Cosgrave	162	—	2515P-	95	103	76	299d	—	—	+13	16.6	33 3%
Perth maiden winner has struggled since; opposable
12	Maxios Show Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Gary Mcgill	J:Donagh Meyler T:Gary Mcgill	152	—	600-60	85	107	88	51d	—	—	+6	9.7	25 4%
Record in handicaps dismal; professional takes over from amateur here but of little appeal
8	Breagagh Bay J:Mr N Gault(7) T:S Michael Millar	J:Mr N Gault(7) T:S Michael Millar	157	p	45P-05	90	101	66	—	—	—	+8	10.8	40 3%
Longstanding maiden under both codes and not easy to see him changing that here
11	Ivane Bay J:E Walsh(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	155	—	6590-8	88	89	59	31d	—	—	+8	10	80 1%
Not progressing over hurdles, never sighted on handicap debut last time; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Thornleigh Frank	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Cest Quelquun	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Millies Dream	7	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2
Chancer Dancer	11	11	11	7	11
Trishknowsbest	12	12	9	12	12
Kellies Dream	10	11	11	11	12
Clear The Clouds	3	3	11/4	3	3
Sovereign Duke	11	12	12	14	14
Ask The Leader	12	12/1	12	12	14
Sula Warrior	33	28	22	28	28
Maxios Show	25	25	22	20	25
Breagagh	40	28	25	28	28
Ivane	80	80	40	66/1	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cest Quelquun

21.3

OR: 10.5 Form: 7.2 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Clear The Clouds

17.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Thornleigh Frank

17.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Sula Warrior

16.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.9

Trishknowsbest

14.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Sovereign Duke

14.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ask The Leader

14.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Millies Dream

13.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Kellies Dream

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Chancer Dancer

10.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Breagagh

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ivane

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Maxios Show

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Trishknowsbest	99	102	87
Sovereign Duke	99	107	75
Ask The Leader	97	107	82
Clear The Clouds	96	107	92
Sula Warrior	95	103	76
Thornleigh Frank	94	103	81
Cest Quelquun	92	102	16
Breagagh	90	101	66
Millies Dream	89	91	96
Kellies Dream	89	107	80
Ivane	88	89	59
Maxios Show	85	107	88
Chancer Dancer	83	111	108

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Millies Dream	4d ago	Quick return
Ask The Leader	9d ago	Quick return
Chancer Dancer	21d ago	Fit
Ivane	31d ago	Fit
Sovereign Duke	40d ago	Fit
Thornleigh Frank	44d ago	Fit
Maxios Show	51d ago	Fresh
Clear The Clouds	69d ago	Fresh
Trishknowsbest	70d ago	Fresh
Cest Quelquun	135d ago	Long break
Kellies Dream	287d ago	Long break
Sula Warrior	299d ago	Long break
Breagagh	—	—