Irish Stallion Farms EBF "Nasrullah" Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Leopardstown

7:25

Date 2023-07-13

Distance 1m1f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (17)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
16 (13)	Lan Cinnte b J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Mrs John Harrington	119	—	42-212	87	107	96	11d	—	—	-8	16.9	11/4 27%
Good Curragh run; should be okay with the step up in trip; looks to be going the right way
5 (14)	Coeur Dor b J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	134	—	713-21	92	104	80	35d	—	—	+2	13.8	6 17%
Up 10lb for last time which is not excessive; has a big chance if able to reproduce that
8 (2)	Londoner ch J:Killian Hennessy(5) T:A P Obrien	J:Killian Hennessy(5) T:A P Obrien	131	—	41-449	99	100	78	19d	—	—	+6	14.6	17/2 11%
Well beaten in an Ascot handicap; hard to assess but not impossible to see him involved
9 (7)	Redstone Well ch J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Daniel William Osullivan	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Daniel William Osullivan	128	—	23-821	86	106	87	17d	—	—	+3	11.4	17/2 11%
More needed but showed a good attitude at Ballinrobe last time and could go well
4 (6)	Jungle Cove gr J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	136	—	00-043	94	105	78	12d	—	—	+5	13.2	11 9%
Four-time winner, including off a 7lb lower mark in this race last year; each-way chance
17 (10)	Lord Vader ch J:Leigh Roche T:Emmet Mullins	J:Leigh Roche T:Emmet Mullins	119	t	26-044	77	104	81	12d	—	—	0	9.3	10 10%
May well improve a bit more but has a tough task here from 5lb out of the handicap
3 (4)	Good Too b J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	137	—	12/4	95	98	53	25d	—	—	+5	13.6	14 7%
Needed the run on his stable debut at Gowran; totally unexposed and could go close here
NR (12)	Overheer b J:TBC T:Joseph G Murphy	J: T:Joseph G Murphy	123	—	087-12	81	107	82	13d	—	—	0	10.9	18 6%
Bang in form this season and certainly respected if he can prove effective off this mark
NR (5)	Alanya b J:TBC T:Thomas Gibney	J: T:Thomas Gibney	127	—	215-1	85	102	81	12d	—	—	+7	23.8	9/2 18%
Bolted up on her Irish debut in the Ladies Derby at the Curragh; could be more to come
12 (1)	Zabeir gr J:N G McCullagh T:Donal Kinsella	J:N G McCullagh T:Donal Kinsella	124	t	741-33	82	105	91	11d	—	—	-1	11.6	8 13%
Will need plenty of luck in running from an inside draw; big chance if things fall his way
13 (11)	Carracci b J:Jack Cleary(7) T:A P Obrien	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:A P Obrien	123	b	51-390	91	100	88	21d	—	—	+6	12	16 6%
Well held in competitive handicaps last twice and others look more likely this time
11 (9)	Cordouan b J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	127	—	123-38	85	103	76	11d	—	—	+5	10.4	20 5%
Not at his best in two runs this season and others preferred this time
2 (3)	Monaasib b J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Kevin Prendergast	139	t	20-362	97	110	82	27d	—	—	+7	13.7	12 8%
Consistent performer; best form is over shorter though and might find a couple too good
6 (15)	Star Harbour b J:Ben Coen T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Ben Coen T:Adrian Mcguinness	133	v	3095-8	91	107	91	—	—	—	+7	11.6	22 5%
Tried over hurdles last season with limited effect; off since May and others appeal more
NR (17)	Joe Masseria b J:TBC T:Noel Meade	J: T:Noel Meade	132	—	104-01	90	104	68	96d	—	—	+6	11.4	33 3%
Won at Cork; should be effective over this trip but form has tended to lack consistency
15 (16)	Sirjack Thomas gr J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian Mcguinness	121	—	500100	79	106	70	11d	—	—	+10	13.1	40 3%
Nothing if not inconsistent; well capable of going close off this mark if the in the mood
1 (8)	Saltonstall ch J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	140	tp	245860	98	109	72	11d	—	—	+10	12.8	33 3%
A few more progressive types in opposition here and probably best watched this time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lan Cinnte	11/4	11/4	17/8	11/4	3
Coeur Dor	6	6	6	6	6
Londoner	8	17/2	8	8	9
Redstone Well	9	9	17/2	8	9
Jungle Cove	10	11	17/2	10	11
Lord Vader	10	10	9	15/2	10
Good Too	14	12	12	8	12
Overheer	18	18	16	16	16
Alanya	7/2	5	9/2	7/2	9/2
Zabeir	8	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Carracci	16	16	11	16	16
Cordouan	18	20	12	20	20
Monaasib	12	11	11	11	11
Star Harbour	22	20	14	16	20
Joe Masseria	33	22	22	22	22
Sirjack Thomas	40	28	28	28	28
Saltonstall	33	33	25	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alanya

23.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Lan Cinnte

16.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

11/4

3rd

Londoner

14.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Coeur Dor

13.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Monaasib

13.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Good Too

13.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Jungle Cove

13.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Sirjack Thomas

13.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

Saltonstall

12.8

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Carracci

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Zabeir

11.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Star Harbour

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Redstone Well

11.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Joe Masseria

11.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Overheer

10.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Cordouan

10.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Lord Vader

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Londoner Top Rated	99	100	78
Saltonstall	98	109	72
Monaasib	97	110	82
Good Too	95	98	53
Jungle Cove	94	105	78
Coeur Dor	92	104	80
Carracci	91	100	88
Star Harbour	91	107	91
Joe Masseria	90	104	68
Lan Cinnte	87	107	96
Redstone Well	86	106	87
Alanya	85	102	81
Cordouan	85	103	76
Zabeir	82	105	91
Overheer	81	107	82
Sirjack Thomas	79	106	70
Lord Vader	77	104	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lan Cinnte	11d ago	Quick return
Zabeir	11d ago	Quick return
Cordouan	11d ago	Quick return
Sirjack Thomas	11d ago	Quick return
Saltonstall	11d ago	Quick return
Jungle Cove	12d ago	Quick return
Lord Vader	12d ago	Quick return
Alanya	12d ago	Quick return
Overheer	13d ago	Quick return
Redstone Well	17d ago	Fit
Londoner	19d ago	Fit
Carracci	21d ago	Fit
Good Too	25d ago	Fit
Monaasib	27d ago	Fit
Coeur Dor	35d ago	Fit
Joe Masseria	96d ago	Long break
Star Harbour	—	—