Belfield (Q.R.) Race – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

8:30

Belfield (Q.R.) Race

Date 2023-07-13

Distance 1m7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €9,145

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (8)	Tax For Max b J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	159	t	15/30-	100	81	12	—	—	—	-18	27.5	10/11 52%
Ran nowhere near mark of 110 last year and current mark likely still flatters him
4 (1)	Jesse Evans b J:Mr D G Lavery T:Noel Meade	J:Mr D G Lavery T:Noel Meade	159	—	2430-2	89	72	51	7d	—	—	-3	22.4	5/2 29%
Stays 2m1f on the level so 1m4f and a steady pace was no good to him at Bellewstown
NR (3)	Almuhit b J:TBC T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J: T:Denis Gerard Hogan	166	p	3-0023	92	66	41	12d	—	—	+6	15.2	11 9%
Rock solid efforts in staying h'caps at the Curragh last twice; likely to be ridden handy
6 (9)	Gatsby Grey b J:Mr J C Barry(3) T:Oliver Mckiernan	J:Mr J C Barry(3) T:Oliver Mckiernan	156	t	5-	-	57	4	—	—	—	-7	2.7	15/2 12%
Bumper and dual hurdles winner, rated 137 in the latter discipline; second Flat start
3 (7)	Female Soldier ch J:Mr C Mullins(7) T:Thomas Mullins	J:Mr C Mullins(7) T:Thomas Mullins	161	—	0-5477	86	72	44	17d	—	—	+4	11.1	12 8%
Good track form, debut winner and fine fifth of 23 in Petingo Premier Handicap (1m5f)
9 (4)	Suprise Package b J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Peter Fahey	J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Peter Fahey	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	15/2 12%
Top rider booked and yard flying but surely going to need his first outing in 15 months
2 (6)	Magellan Strait ch J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	166	b	210-80	89	73	-10	12d	—	—	+6	11.4	16 6%
Never a factor over 2m at the Curragh last time; better than that and blinkers tried
7 (5)	Goodbye Someday b J:Mr S P Queally(7) T:John Queally	J:Mr S P Queally(7) T:John Queally	156	—	—	-	-	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.5	150/1 1%
Three-time hurdles winner was tailed off in C&D maiden last month
8 (2)	Patrick Joseph b J:Miss R Hogan(7) T:D Broad	J:Miss R Hogan(7) T:D Broad	156	—	65-087	53	54	19	7d	—	—	0	1.1	150/1 1%
Longstanding maiden in all codes; no chance in this company

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tax For Max	10/11	10/11	10/11	5/6	5/6
Jesse Evans	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
Almuhit	11	9	9	9	9
Gatsby Grey	15/2	8	15/2	7	8
Female Soldier	12	11	11	11	11
Suprise Package	8	15/2	7	7	15/2
Magellan Strait	16	16	14	14	16
Goodbye Someday	150	125	125	80	150/1
Patrick Joseph	150	125	125	125	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tax For Max

27.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Jesse Evans

22.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.6

5/2

3rd

Almuhit

15.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.6

Magellan Strait

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Female Soldier

11.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Suprise Package

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Gatsby Grey

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Patrick Joseph

1.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Goodbye Someday

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tax For Max Top Rated	100	81	12
Almuhit	92	66	41
Jesse Evans	89	72	51
Magellan Strait	89	73	—
Female Soldier	86	72	44
Patrick Joseph	53	54	19
Gatsby Grey	—	57	4
Suprise Package	—	—	—
Goodbye Someday	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jesse Evans	7d ago	Quick return
Patrick Joseph	7d ago	Quick return
Almuhit	12d ago	Quick return
Magellan Strait	12d ago	Quick return
Female Soldier	17d ago	Fit
Goodbye Someday	21d ago	Fit
Tax For Max	—	—
Gatsby Grey	—	—
Suprise Package	—	—