bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

15:00

bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2023-07-14

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £51,540

Winning Time 3m 2.13s (slow by 6.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Live Your Dream (IRE) Kevin Stott · Saeed bin Suroor	5/2F	Won
2nd	Kihavah (GB) Jamie Spencer · Adrian Paul Keatley	5/1	1.75
3rd	Prydwen (IRE) Callum Shepherd · George Scott	12/1	.75
4th	Berkshire Rocco (FR) Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	15/2	4
5th	Diamond Bay (GB) David Egan · Tom Ward	9/1	.5
6th	Torcello (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Shaun Lycett	14/1	4
7th	Ravens Ark (GB) Hollie Doyle · Hughie Morrison	7/1	22
8th	Aimeric (GB) James Doyle · Roger Varian	4/1	56

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Live Your Dream Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed Bin Suroor	138	p	420/23	104	110	103	21d	—	—	-3	20.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Placed twice at 1m4f this term and did well over 1m6f-2m2f in 2021; looks set to run well
5 (7)	Aimeric Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	130	—	810-18	96	109	104	21d	—	—	-1	16.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Running well at 1m4f this season but well beaten twice over 1m6f at York last term
4 (3)	Kihavah Chestnut J:Jamie Spencer T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Jamie Spencer T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	t	-54111	96	113	100	20d	—	—	+24	37.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has completed a four-timer in a 2m4f hurdle race and three outings over 1m4f/1m5f on Flat
3 (6)	Berkshire Rocco Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	131	p	125000	97	107	74	13d	—	—	+6	15.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lesser shows of late, only tenth/eleventh in large-field handicaps on last three outings
10 (2)	Ravens Ark Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Hughie Morrison	J:Hollie Doyle T:Hughie Morrison	115	—	349-22	81	112	95	28d	—	—	+2	10	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Good second at Ascot (1m4f) and Goodwood (1m6f) in his two appearances this season
2 (5)	Prydwen Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	131	—	718632	97	109	65	20d	—	—	+16	22.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Close to Live Your Dreams on penultimate start and beaten a head by Kihavah (1m5f) latest
NR (9)	La Pulga Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Johnston	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charlie Johnston	122	—	641235	88	-	-	4d	—	—	+13	18.8	3.25/1	14 7%
Won only run over this far (last September) and stamina seemed to win it for him that day
9 (8)	Diamond Bay Chestnut J:David Egan T:Tom Ward	J:David Egan T:Tom Ward	122	—	643731	88	111	94	28d	—	—	+18	24.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Won over 1m6f at York on latest; usually operates in lower grades but very reliable
7 (10)	Torcello Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Shaun Lycett	J:Saffie Osborne T:Shaun Lycett	123	b	821-82	89	112	76	68d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Pipped at Newmarket in May latest; having ground softer than good seems important to him
NR (1)	Themaxwecan Bay J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	125	p	7-9300	91	108	72	13d	—	—	+7	11.6	3.75/1	16 6%
1lb lower than when winning at Ascot last August but does not appear the percentage call

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Live Your Dream	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Aimeric	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Kihavah	11/2	5/1	5	5	5/1
Berkshire Rocco	8	17/2	15/2	8	17/2
Ravens Ark	9	17/2	17/2	9	9
Prydwen	12	10	10	10	11
La Pulga	14	12	12	12	SP
Diamond Bay	12	10/1	10	10/1	11
Torcello	14	12/1	12/1	14	14
Themaxwecan	16	16	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kihavah

37.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 22 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Diamond Bay

24.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 13 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Prydwen

22.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.9

Live Your Dream

20.8

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

La Pulga

18.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.7

Aimeric

16.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Berkshire Rocco

15.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Themaxwecan

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Torcello

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ravens Ark

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Live Your Dream	104	110	103
Berkshire Rocco	97	107	74
Prydwen	97	109	65
Aimeric	96	109	104
Kihavah	96	113	100
Themaxwecan	91	108	72
Torcello	89	112	76
La Pulga	88	—	—
Diamond Bay	88	111	94
Ravens Ark	81	112	95

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
La Pulga	4d ago	Quick return
Berkshire Rocco	13d ago	Quick return
Themaxwecan	13d ago	Quick return
Kihavah	20d ago	Fit
Prydwen	20d ago	Fit
Live Your Dream	21d ago	Fit
Aimeric	21d ago	Fit
Ravens Ark	28d ago	Fit
Diamond Bay	28d ago	Fit
Torcello	68d ago	Fresh