British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

20:20

British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-07-24

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,505

Winning Time 2m 13.38s (slow by 8.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Zarga (FR) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	3/1	Won
2nd	Decoration (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	5/2F	0.3
3rd	Flight Of Angels (GB) Oisin Murphy · Charlie Johnston	12/1	2.75
4th	Chealamy (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	17/2	1
5th	Blue Missile (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	9/2	0.05
6th	Ludmilla (GB) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	9/1	1.25
7th	Ardbraccan (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	25/1	.75
8th	Double March (IRE) James Doyle · S Woods	15/2	21

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Zarga Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	126	—	354-32	78	92	80	55d	—	—	-9	13.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Never nearer from the back when placed this season in her two handicaps, over 1m2f latest
4 (3)	Decoration Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	5-41	80	87	60	21d	—	—	-7	13.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
C&D maiden winner (good to firm) last time and could easily be open to further progress
2 (1)	Blue Missile Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	134	—	51-9	86	82	63	59d	—	—	-3	14	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Put in her place in a 1m2f Listed race at Goodwood (good) in May; could still improve
1 (6)	Double March Bay J:James Doyle T:S Woods	J:James Doyle T:S Woods	135	—	21-410	87	88	76	32d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Comfortable win at Ascot (1m2f, soft) in May; plenty of excuses at Royal Ascot last time
3 (7)	Chealamy Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	130	—	-29512	82	88	80	23d	—	—	+15	23.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Running well at 1m but well below form three starts back on her only attempt at 1m2f
8 (8)	Flight Of Angels Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	122	—	40-512	74	88	77	16d	—	—	+1	7.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Makes the running; won at Wetherby and second at Nottingham, her last two starts
7 (4)	Ludmilla Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	126	—	3-9434	78	87	81	37d	—	—	+4	11	2.75/1	12 8%
Minor honours in her two handicaps (7f/1m); needs to find extra but 1m2f looks plausible
5 (2)	Ardbraccan Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	127	t	4-4939	70	89	67	7d	—	—	+2	6.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Could have been seriously involved over C&D on latest outing had she seen any daylight

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zarga	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Decoration	3	3	11/4	3	3
Blue Missile	7/2	4	7/2	4	4/1
Double March	7	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Chealamy	10	17/2	9	9/1	9/1
Flight Of Angels	12	11	12	12/1	12/1
Ludmilla	12	11	12	12	12
Ardbraccan	28	20	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chealamy

23.5

OR: 8 Form: 13 Odds: 2.5

2nd

Blue Missile

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Zarga

13.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Decoration

13.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Double March

12.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ludmilla

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

Flight Of Angels

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ardbraccan

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Double March	87	88	76
Blue Missile	86	82	63
Chealamy	82	88	80
Decoration	80	87	60
Zarga	78	92	80
Ludmilla	78	87	81
Flight Of Angels	74	88	77
Ardbraccan	70	89	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ardbraccan	7d ago	Quick return
Flight Of Angels	16d ago	Fit
Decoration	21d ago	Fit
Chealamy	23d ago	Fit
Double March	32d ago	Fit
Ludmilla	37d ago	Fit
Zarga	55d ago	Fresh
Blue Missile	59d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Flight Of Angels	Front Runner
Double March	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.