At The Races App Expert Tips EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-07-25

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 29.58s (slow by 3.18s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bigger Than Giga (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	2/1F	Won
2nd	Miss Mandalay (GB) Harry Davies · Kevin Philippart De Foy	9/2	0.2
3rd	Tokyo Dreamer (GB) Ray Dawson · Stuart Williams	9/2	2.5
4th	Eminent Jewel (GB) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	16/1	0.3
5th	Miss Anya (IRE) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	12/1	2.25
6th	Arizona Desert (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Alice Haynes	8/1	1
7th	Roubay (IRE) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	25/1	1.75
8th	Belle Storm (IRE) David Probert · James Tate	8/1	1
9th	Timely Chance (GB) Trevor Whelan · Steph Hollinshead	80/1	1.75
10th	Qandil (IRE) Sam Hitchcott · Richard Hannon	14/1	4.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Bigger Than Giga Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	31	71	78	50	27d	—	—	-2	25.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won a modest race over this trip at Kempton and the penalty spells danger
5 (6)	Miss Mandalay Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
£32,000 yearling; bred to effective at this trip and the market needs checking
8 (9)	Tokyo Dreamer Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Stuart Williams	J:Ray Dawson T:Stuart Williams	128	—	78333	71	83	68	12d	—	—	+2	15.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
She's been bang there in her last three (all over 7f) and her RPRs are right up there
2 (3)	Arizona Desert Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Alice Haynes	J:Hollie Doyle T:Alice Haynes	128	t	33	-	72	-	15d	—	—	-2	7.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Probably needs to find a bit even on her initial effort but the AW could suit
9 (7)	Belle Storm Bay J:David Probert T:James Tate	J:David Probert T:James Tate	126	h	33	-	72	46	17d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has raced keenly and hung under pressure, so could do with ironing out those traits
6 (2)	Qandil Chestnut J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	128	—	333	67	79	48	76d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Has come up short in three 5f races and this should be more her trip on pedigree
3 (4)	Eminent Jewel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Half-sister to six winners and from a strong yard so market needs checking
4 (1)	Miss Anya Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.25/1	22 5%
£28,000 2yo; 11th foal; half-sister to five winners; possible if at all strong in market
7 (10)	Roubay Chestnut J:Laura Pearson(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson(3) T:David Loughnane	128	—	50	-	76	-	48d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Both runs over 6f, finishing fifth of seven at Chester and last at Newbury
10 (5)	Timely Chance Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Trevor Whelan T:Steph Hollinshead	126	—	—	-	72	-	28d	—	—	-3	1	12.25/1	50 2%
Kicked off at Newbury (6f) and was beaten under 7l in finishing tenth of 12 runners

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bigger Than Giga	9/4	9/4	9/4	15/8	2
Miss Mandalay	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Tokyo Dreamer	5	13/2	11/2	6/1	13/2
Arizona Desert	8	8	7	15/2	15/2
Belle Storm	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
Qandil	9	10	8	8	17/2
Eminent Jewel	14	14	16	14	14
Miss Anya	22	18	18	16	16
Roubay	28	22	20	20/1	22
Timely Chance	50	50	33	40	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bigger Than Giga

25.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Tokyo Dreamer

15.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 4

13/2

3rd

Qandil

13.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.4

Arizona Desert

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Belle Storm

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Miss Mandalay

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Eminent Jewel

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Miss Anya

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Roubay

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Timely Chance

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bigger Than Giga	71	78	50
Tokyo Dreamer	71	83	68
Qandil	67	79	48
Miss Mandalay	—	—	—
Arizona Desert	—	72	—
Belle Storm	—	72	46
Eminent Jewel	—	—	—
Miss Anya	—	—	—
Roubay	—	76	—
Timely Chance	—	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tokyo Dreamer	12d ago	Quick return
Arizona Desert	15d ago	Fit
Belle Storm	17d ago	Fit
Bigger Than Giga	27d ago	Fit
Timely Chance	28d ago	Fit
Roubay	48d ago	Fresh
Qandil	76d ago	Fresh
Miss Mandalay	—	—
Eminent Jewel	—	—
Miss Anya	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.