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Chepstow

19:20

Date 2023-07-28

Distance 7f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (3)	Moondial Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:NON-RUNNER T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	—	-34314	59	70	57	30d	—	—	-12	22	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Won her latest race on turf, at Salisbury; 5lb higher but a likely contender
4 (2)	Coral Reef Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	131	b	-52726	59	73	53	32d	—	—	-12	15.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
0-8 but the return of blinkers should be no bad thing, nor a return to slower ground
6 (1)	Believe You Me Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Heather Main	J:Ray Dawson T:Heather Main	130	—	67-506	58	70	34	16d	—	—	-19	11.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Hasn't progressed at all in 1m handicaps, with and without headgear
1 (6)	Phoenix Glow Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	134	—	-16256	62	69	24	86d	—	—	-6	13.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Has the form to feature and latest Brighton handicap was won by massive improver Quinault
5 (4)	Savannah Smiles Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grace Harris	130	p	605157	58	65	32	27d	—	—	0	9.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No closer than 5l in two runs for this stable and unraced on slow turf
2 (5)	Zalicia Fire Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Robyn Brisland	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Robyn Brisland	132	—	966-	60	69	-	221d	—	—	-2	4.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Three-figure prices for all three starts and pulled hard each time; handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Moondial	7/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Coral Reef	9/4	2	15/8	2	15/8
Believe You Me	7/4	7/4	15/8	7/4	15/8
Phoenix Glow	3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Savannah Smiles	9	8	13/2	17/2	17/2
Zalicia Fire	14	12	11/1	12	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moondial

OR: 2.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Coral Reef

15.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Phoenix Glow

13.2

OR: 3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Believe You Me

11.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

Savannah Smiles

9.9

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Zalicia Fire

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Phoenix Glow	62	69	24
Zalicia Fire	60	69	—
Moondial	59	70	57
Coral Reef	59	73	53
Believe You Me	58	70	34
Savannah Smiles	58	65	32

Last Run