Henry Cecil Open Weekend Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

20:45

Henry Cecil Open Weekend Handicap

Date 2023-07-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (8)	Overnight Oats Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	141	h	549311	76	78	-	2d	—	—	-25	45	—	—
Chasing a hat-trick after wins at Carlisle & Sandown; still capable of better at 7f
1 (4)	Lordsbridge Girl Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	141	—	113333	69	77	67	22d	—	—	-3	21.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Two AW wins in January; running well on turf this summer and she's a major player
2 (11)	King Of The Dance Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Kevin Stott T:Eve Johnson Houghton	138	—	72-938	66	74	38	18d	—	—	-7	8.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Not the most consistent but his best form brings him right into it; still low mileage
7 (6)	Porfin Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	131	p	034332	59	76	66	3d	—	—	+3	14.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent in recent weeks, most recently 2nd on AW on Tuesday; up in class; e-w claims
10 (9)	Landlordtothestars Bay J:Sean Levey T:James Evans	J:Sean Levey T:James Evans	125	—	79-127	60	75	35	112d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
7f AW winner in February; off track since a low-key run at Bath on Good Friday
8 (3)	Red Evelyn Chestnut J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John Butler	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John Butler	129	p	410238	57	73	68	28d	—	—	+1	11.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two AW wins this year; good run on stable debut but latest start less convincing
3 (5)	Split Elevens Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	135	b	616053	63	73	62	28d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Two AW wins this year; ran well over 1m here four weeks ago; one of two for John Butler
6 (2)	Nahwand Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	132	h	84-40	67	74	38	22d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Low-key stable/handicap debut 3 weeks ago; hood tried now; still early days for him
NR (7)	Ajrad Chestnut J:TBC T:Michael Attwater	J: T:Michael Attwater	133	—	7-8548	61	75	59	27d	—	—	-3	4.8	4.25/1	18 6%
On a fair mark but slow to get going this year and he wouldn't want significant rain
9 (10)	Wheres Freddy Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	127	t	5888	62	74	58	22d	—	—	-3	5.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Not built on debut promise in 3 runs since; now tried in a tongue-tie; check betting
NR (1)	Dazzerling Chestnut J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	123	—	9-0690	51	68	38	43d	—	—	-1	0.7	24.75/1	100 1%
Exposed, low-grade maiden who has offered little in 2023

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Overnight Oats	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Lordsbridge Girl	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
King Of The Dance	4	4	4	4	4
Porfin	13/2	6	6	6	6
Landlordtothestars	5	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Red Evelyn	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Split Elevens	10	9	9	8	9
Nahwand	10	11	12/1	10	12
Ajrad	16	18	14	18	18
Wheres Freddy	14	12	14/1	11	16
Dazzerling	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Overnight Oats

OR: 6.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Lordsbridge Girl

21.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Porfin

14.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 9.2 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Red Evelyn

11.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Split Elevens

10.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

King Of The Dance

8.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Landlordtothestars

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Nahwand

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Wheres Freddy

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ajrad

4.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Dazzerling

0.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Overnight Oats	76	78	—
Lordsbridge Girl	69	77	67
Nahwand	67	74	38
King Of The Dance	66	74	38
Split Elevens	63	73	62
Wheres Freddy	62	74	58
Ajrad	61	75	59
Landlordtothestars	60	75	35
Porfin	59	76	66
Red Evelyn	57	73	68
Dazzerling	51	68	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Overnight Oats	2d ago	Quick return
Porfin	3d ago	Quick return
King Of The Dance	18d ago	Fit
Lordsbridge Girl	22d ago	Fit
Nahwand	22d ago	Fit
Wheres Freddy	22d ago	Fit
Ajrad	27d ago	Fit
Red Evelyn	28d ago	Fit
Split Elevens	28d ago	Fit
Dazzerling	43d ago	Fit
Landlordtothestars	112d ago	Long break