Berenberg October Club Supporting Schoolreaders Fillies' Handicap

Ascot

16:45

Date 2023-07-28

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,191

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Cuban Breeze Bay J:Tom Marquand T:David Evans	J:Tom Marquand T:David Evans	138	b	223432	83	95	72	7d	—	—	+2	23.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Beat Glamorous Breeze in this race last year; knocking on door in 2023; good 2nd latest
1 (2)	Lil Guff Bay J:William Buick T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:William Buick T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	142	—	731126	87	93	78	23d	—	—	+8	27.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two 5f wins this summer; below par over 6f latest; career-best effort required to win
2 (8)	Glamorous Breeze Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Christopher Mason	J:Trevor Whelan T:Christopher Mason	140	p	-68121	85	93	85	27d	—	—	+16	31.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Strong traveller; consistent & in peak form; faster ground ideal but should go well again
7 (6)	Holy Fire Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	133	p	3-1222	82	92	-	19d	—	—	+1	13.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unexposed filly; latest 2nd looks a strong piece of form; 5f could spark more from her
6 (3)	Woolhampton Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	134	b	187552	83	92	83	27d	—	—	+5	16.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Best handicap run so far when 2nd to Glamorous Breeze 4 weeks ago; should go well again
8 (7)	Sarahs Verse Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Ronald Harris	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Ronald Harris	126	—	135665	71	91	76	31d	—	—	+1	7.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Bath win in April hasn't been matched in five runs since; others stronger at this level
4 (4)	Origintrail Bay J:Jason Watson T:Ben Haslam	J:Jason Watson T:Ben Haslam	134	—	256-68	79	94	70	14d	—	—	+2	9.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Ended 2022 quietly and yet to get going this year; drops to 5f for the first time
NR (5)	Cruise Bay J:TBC T:Ollie Sangster	J: T:Ollie Sangster	134	—	-22161	83	92	31	29d	—	—	+16	29.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Both wins on AW; yet to show comparable form on turf; unraced on slower than good to firm

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cuban Breeze	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Lil Guff	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Glamorous Breeze	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Holy Fire	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Woolhampton	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Sarahs Verse	12	11	12	11	11
Origintrail	10	12	14	12	12
Cruise	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Glamorous Breeze

31.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Cruise

29.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 17.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Lil Guff

27.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Cuban Breeze

23.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 9 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Woolhampton

16.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Holy Fire

13.7

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Origintrail

9.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Sarahs Verse

7.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lil Guff	87	93	78
Glamorous Breeze	85	93	85
Cuban Breeze	83	95	72
Woolhampton	83	92	83
Cruise	83	92	31
Holy Fire	82	92	—
Origintrail	79	94	70
Sarahs Verse	71	91	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cuban Breeze	7d ago	Quick return
Origintrail	14d ago	Fit
Holy Fire	19d ago	Fit
Lil Guff	23d ago	Fit
Glamorous Breeze	27d ago	Fit
Woolhampton	27d ago	Fit
Cruise	29d ago	Fit
Sarahs Verse	31d ago	Fit