John Guest Racing Brown Jack Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

14:25

John Guest Racing Brown Jack Handicap

Date 2023-07-28

Distance 1m7f209y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	King Eagle Chestnut J:Ryan Moore T:Nicky Henderson	J:Ryan Moore T:Nicky Henderson	138	—	543-11	83	89	71	34d	—	—	-16	19.7	0.34/1	11/8 42%
2-2 for new yard; 2m looks well worth a go; lightly raced 4yo who retains potential
9 (6)	Pledgeofallegiance Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	123	v	852110	83	91	74	20d	—	—	+9	27.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Flopped when bidding to complete a 1m6f hat-trick and now has a change of headgear
7 (9)	Malakahna Bay J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	137	tp	11-322	82	91	84	13d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win last autumn; seconds this month at Chester and York confirm she's a big player
6 (1)	Tamilla Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	137	—	14-794	82	90	77	14d	—	—	0	11.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Going back up from 1m4f (stays 1m6f) looks in order but 2m is something new
3 (5)	Blazeon Five Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	139	—	222516	84	90	72	63d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.75/1	16 6%
C&D win in May on only visit here; basically on a solid sequence since last September
2 (3)	Appier Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:S Woods	J:Harry Davies(3) T:S Woods	142	—	-31315	87	91	58	27d	—	—	+17	23	4.50/1	18/1 5%
None of his seven wins have been beyond 1m4f; did not entirely persuade at 2m latest run
4 (7)	Temporize Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Syd Hosie	J:Trevor Whelan T:Syd Hosie	138	—	4-3326	83	91	85	7d	—	—	+5	9.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Stays 2m; bit to prove on softer than good; should figure prominently if ground is okay
NR (2)	Monsieur Lambrays Bay J:TBC T:Bernard Llewellyn	J: T:Bernard Llewellyn	133	p	080-27	78	91	65	47d	—	—	+5	7.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Last won in July 2020 but short-headed by Blazeon Five over C&D on penultimate outing
NR (8)	Traila Chestnut J:TBC T:David Simcock	J: T:David Simcock	142	—	4-6972	87	90	59	34d	—	—	-3	14.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Neck 2nd to King Eagle at Newmarket (1m6f) was his best for a while and he rallied well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
King Eagle	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	5/4
Pledgeofallegiance	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Malakahna	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Tamilla	15/2	7	7	7	7
Blazeon Five	14	14	14	14	16
Appier	12	12	18/1	16/1	14
Temporize	25	20	22/1	20/1	25
Monsieur Lambrays	40	28	28	28	28
Traila	11/2	13/2	11/2	6	6

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pledgeofallegiance

27.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.4

10/3

2nd

Appier

OR: 9.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

3rd

King Eagle

19.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

Blazeon Five

19.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.7

Traila

14.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

13/2

Malakahna

12.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Tamilla

11.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Temporize

9.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Monsieur Lambrays

7.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Appier	87	91	58
Traila	87	90	59
Blazeon Five	84	90	72
King Eagle	83	89	71
Pledgeofallegiance	83	91	74
Temporize	83	91	85
Malakahna	82	91	84
Tamilla	82	90	77
Monsieur Lambrays	78	91	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Temporize	7d ago	Quick return
Malakahna	13d ago	Quick return
Tamilla	14d ago	Fit
Pledgeofallegiance	20d ago	Fit
Appier	27d ago	Fit
King Eagle	34d ago	Fit
Traila	34d ago	Fit
Monsieur Lambrays	47d ago	Fresh
Blazeon Five	63d ago	Fresh