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Newcastle (AW)

14:00 ✓ Result

Aveika Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-07-29
Distance 1m2f42y
Class Class 4
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £5,129
Winning Time 2m 10.47s (slow by 2.97s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st EvensF Won
2nd 17/2 2
3rd 14/1 3
4th 7/1 1.75
5th 11/1 1.25
6th 22/1 .5
7th 33/1 .5
8th 9/2 .75
9th 33/1 1.75
10th 40/1 1.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (10)
Tiffany
Bay
J:Morgan Cole(5)
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
J:Morgan Cole(5)
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
 129 — 8-71V1
76
82
54
 12d — — -18
17.9
0.38/1
6/4
40%
Won on her handicap debut at Windsor (1m2f) and she's open to more progress; interesting
1 (5)
Heathen
Bay
J:Frederick Larson
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Frederick Larson
T:Ed Dunlop
 144 h 51-100
82
86
51
 73d — — -3
12.4
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Has struggled on turf last twice but he's 2-3 on Tapeta and could revive back on AW
3 (6)
Strawman
Bay
J:Callum Hutchinson
T:Gemma Tutty
J:Callum Hutchinson
T:Gemma Tutty
 142 — -30532
80
85
-
 32d — — +8
17.9
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Makes his belated AW debut but he went close at Beverley (1m2f) last time and is respected
2 (4)
Kingori
Bay
J:Benoit De La Sayette
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Benoit De La Sayette
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
 142 — 113-8
80
84
46
 23d — — 0
10.4
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Won first two starts but has been disappointing in last two runs; now steps up to 1m2f
NR (1)
Bashful
Bay
J:TBC
T:Iain Jardine
J:
T:Iain Jardine
 141 tp -24111
79
86
50
 9d — — +18
35.5
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Has won three in a row and is only 1lb higher than for his last success; big player again
10 (11)
Maid In London
Chestnut
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Hugo Palmer
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Hugo Palmer
 124 p 4-1076
71
84
59
 31d — — -2
7.9
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Still lightly raced but she needs cheekpieces to make a difference at this new trip
7 (7)
Broctune Red
Chestnut
J:Alex Jary(5)
T:Gillian Boanas
J:Alex Jary(5)
T:Gillian Boanas
 130 — 122483
68
85
78
 19d — — +5
11.9
2.75/1
12
8%
Seven-time course winner who ran well on turf last time; dangerous back on Tapeta
9 (3)
The Dancing Poet
Chestnut
J:Harry Russell
T:Brian Ellison
J:Harry Russell
T:Brian Ellison
 125 p -78205
63
85
63
 17d — — +3
6.8
6.00/1
25
4%
Has not won since last August and has been disappointing in his last two runs
11 (2)
Purple Ice
Grey
J:Jonny Peate
T:Michael Dods
J:Jonny Peate
T:Michael Dods
 123 p -88106
61
85
-
 19d — — +5
8.8
5.25/1
22
5%
His win came over C&D but that was in a Class 6 event and he's now 1-16
6 (9)
Busby
Bay
J:Kieran Schofield(3)
T:Philip Kirby
J:Kieran Schofield(3)
T:Philip Kirby
 132 p 12-653
70
82
78
 156d — — +3
5.9
8.00/1
33
3%
Ten-time AW winner but he needs to rediscover his spark after a break
5 (8)
Khilwafy
Bay
J:Paula Muir
T:David Thompson
J:Paula Muir
T:David Thompson
 138 — 21190-
76
-
-
 385d — — +14
16.1
12.25/1
50
2%
Triple AW winner but has something to prove after 385 days off and others are preferred
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Tiffany
 11/8 6/4 6/4 11/8 11/8
Heathen
 9/2 5 4 9/2 9/2
Strawman
 8 15/2 7 15/2 8
Kingori
 7 7 13/2 7 7
Bashful
 9/2 4 7/2 7/2 7/2
Maid In London
 7 8 15/2 15/2 15/2
Broctune Red
 12 11 10 12 12
The Dancing Poet
 25 20 18 22 22
Purple Ice
 22 18 22 22 22
Busby
 28 28 22 28 33
Khilwafy
 50 40 40 50 50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Bashful
35.5
OR: 7.3 Form: 23 Odds: 5.2
9/2
2nd Tiffany
17.9
OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4
6/4
3rd Strawman
17.9
OR: 7.5 Form: 7.7 Odds: 2.7
15/2
4 Khilwafy
16.1
OR: 6.5 Form: 9 Odds: 0.6
50
5 Heathen
12.4
OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
9/2
6 Broctune Red
11.9
OR: 4.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.9
12
7 Kingori
10.4
OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
13/2
8 Purple Ice
8.8
OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1
22
9 Maid In London
7.9
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
15/2
10 The Dancing Poet
6.8
OR: 3.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1
25
11 Busby
5.9
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
33

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Heathen
82
86
51
Strawman
80
85
 —
Kingori
80
84
46
Bashful
79
86
50
Tiffany
76
82
54
Khilwafy
76
 — —
Maid In London
71
84
59
Busby
70
82
78
Broctune Red
68
85
78
The Dancing Poet
63
85
63
Purple Ice
61
85
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Bashful 9d ago Quick return
Tiffany 12d ago Quick return
The Dancing Poet 17d ago Fit
Broctune Red 19d ago Fit
Purple Ice 19d ago Fit
Kingori 23d ago Fit
Maid In London 31d ago Fit
Strawman 32d ago Fit
Heathen 73d ago Fresh
Busby 156d ago Long break
Khilwafy 385d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.