Staycations At Western House Hotel Handicap

Ayr

3:05

Date 2023-07-31

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (3)	Kats Bob ch J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	139	p	-88529	64	72	62	3d	—	—	-14	16.4	15/8 35%
Good second at Hamilton and drops back down in grade after tackling better race at York
6 (2)	See My Baby Jive ch J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	130	b	-56111	55	75	61	7d	—	—	+6	30.5	5/2 29%
3-3 in these blinkers last month, all over C&D; clearly thriving and holds strong claims
2 (5)	Elladora b J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	140	b	612428	65	74	64	14d	—	—	0	15.2	11/2 15%
Went close at Carlisle two starts ago and subsequent run here may have come too soon
4 (4)	Caribbean Sunset b J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	135	—	454333	60	71	58	21d	—	—	0	12.7	11/2 15%
Good third on last three starts (C&D most recently) and can again be thereabouts
8 (1)	Zegos Surprise gr J:Mark Winn(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Iain Jardine	121	t	547952	46	71	55	9d	—	—	-3	8.1	15/2 12%
Runner-up three times this year but on 19-race losing run and others are more compelling
7 (6)	Doon The Glen b J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(7) T:Jim Goldie	122	—	065	52	67	42	11d	—	—	-3	1.7	25 4%
Handicap debut; soundly beaten all three starts but a brother to two winners for the yard
NR (10)	Thaki b J:Hollie Doyle T:Katie Scott	J:Hollie Doyle T:Katie Scott	141	t	333167	66	73	57	23d	—	—	+4	13.1	11 9%
Won at Hamilton in May but has failed to shine on his last two starts
NR (7)	Huraiz ch J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	132	b	930-40	57	68	44	7d	—	—	0	2.5	50 2%
Without a win since 2019 and a major turnaround is needed in first-time blinkers
9 (8)	Oriental Lilly ch J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	121	b	850485	46	67	50	14d	—	—	-2	0.8	40 3%
3-time course winner but operating off this basement mark without success for a fair while
11 (9)	Bloomin Robbery b J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	117	—	74484	47	69	45	7d	—	—	-2	0.7	40 3%
Hint of promise here on stable debut and this step back up in trip could help
NR (11)	Nazca b J:Cam Hardie T:Linda Perratt	J:Cam Hardie T:Linda Perratt	121	—	9-8000	46	63	37	7d	—	—	-1	0.4	150 1%
12-race maiden who would be a surprise winner today judged on this season's evidence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kats Bob	7/4	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
See My Baby Jive	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Elladora	6	11/2	5/1	6	6
Caribbean Sunset	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Zegos Surprise	8	15/2	8	8	8
Doon The Glen	25	25	25	25	22
Thaki	10	11	11	10	10
Huraiz	40	50	50	50	50
Oriental Lilly	40	25	25	25	25
Bloomin Robbery	40	33	33	33	33
Nazca	150	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

See My Baby Jive

30.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 22 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Kats Bob

16.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Elladora

15.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Thaki

13.1

OR: 4 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.6

Caribbean Sunset

12.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Zegos Surprise

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Huraiz

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Doon The Glen

1.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Oriental Lilly

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Bloomin Robbery

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Nazca

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thaki Top Rated	66	73	57
Elladora	65	74	64
Kats Bob	64	72	62
Caribbean Sunset	60	71	58
Huraiz	57	68	44
See My Baby Jive	55	75	61
Doon The Glen	52	67	42
Bloomin Robbery	47	69	45
Zegos Surprise	46	71	55
Oriental Lilly	46	67	50
Nazca	46	63	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kats Bob	3d ago	Quick return
See My Baby Jive	7d ago	Quick return
Huraiz	7d ago	Quick return
Bloomin Robbery	7d ago	Quick return
Nazca	7d ago	Quick return
Zegos Surprise	9d ago	Quick return
Doon The Glen	11d ago	Quick return
Elladora	14d ago	Fit
Oriental Lilly	14d ago	Fit
Caribbean Sunset	21d ago	Fit
Thaki	23d ago	Fit