Western House Hotel Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

4:50

Western House Hotel Handicap

Date 2023-07-31

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (2)	Ayr Poet b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	137	p	0-6522	60	73	57	7d	—	—	-12	8.7	10/3 23%
Has twice gone close here recently and a win looks to be imminent
4 (9)	Fifty Sent br J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	139	—	-31233	62	70	64	13d	—	—	+1	19.4	9/2 18%
Drops back in trip but in good form this year and could go well once more
10 (6)	Camacho Star ch J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	127	—	-21271	58	75	58	19d	—	—	+9	22.1	13/2 13%
Returned from break to make all at Catterick and that form has been franked
6 (7)	Golden Valour b J:Rowan Scott T:R Mike Smith	J:Rowan Scott T:R Mike Smith	135	v	-76725	58	73	61	14d	—	—	-4	9.1	13/2 13%
Has been in good form here but the drop back to 1m isn't an obvious plus
7 (1)	Yeeeaah gr J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	133	—	34-592	56	74	55	28d	—	—	-5	4.2	15/2 12%
0-17 but went very close at Musselburgh last time and major player on that form
9 (10)	Chinese Spirit gr J:David Nolan T:Linda Perratt	J:David Nolan T:Linda Perratt	131	—	922272	54	70	61	14d	—	—	+5	13.5	10 10%
Runner-up four times from his last five starts and deserves to get his head back in front
3 (12)	Bulls Aye ch J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	140	tb	721563	63	69	62	26d	—	—	+5	12.2	12 8%
Close third at Musselburgh last time and could be in the mix
NR (5)	Yorkstone b J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	126	—	653526	57	73	46	18d	—	—	-2	9.2	10 10%
0-8 but this first crack at 1m could prompt improvement
2 (3)	Cant Stop Now ch J:Mark Winn(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Iain Jardine	140	h	0321-4	63	70	63	—	—	—	0	4.6	18 6%
Won over hurdles on penultimate outing and not ruled out back from a break
11 (14)	Retirement Beckons b J:Cam Hardie T:Linda Perratt	J:Cam Hardie T:Linda Perratt	127	—	751977	50	68	55	14d	—	—	0	4.1	25 4%
Won over C&D last month but well beaten on his next three runs
14 (11)	Two Rivers b J:William Pyle(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(7) T:Iain Jardine	120	t	4-9707	51	66	52	10d	—	—	-2	1.2	25 4%
Drops back in trip off a reduced mark but he's struggled over 1m-1m5f this season
13 (13)	Hollis Brown b J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	123	—	0-7766	46	72	53	14d	—	—	-2	0.8	33 3%
Hasn't run badly over C&D the last twice but now 0-13 and needs something extra
1 (4)	Pretty Bouquet b J:Joe Fanning T:Jennie Candlish	J:Joe Fanning T:Jennie Candlish	142	v	45-789	65	46	31	18d	—	—	+2	4.5	40 3%
One to watch in the betting but she's struggled on all three starts this year
8 (8)	Rogue Force b J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	133	—	466899	56	70	47	14d	—	—	0	2.2	40 3%
Three-time AW winner for previous yard but has struggled on turf since joining this stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ayr Poet	3	10/3	10/3	11/4	3
Fifty Sent	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Camacho Star	13/2	6	5	11/2	11/2
Golden Valour	6	13/2	6	11/2	13/2
Yeeeaah	8	15/2	8	7	15/2
Chinese Spirit	10	9	17/2	9	9
Bulls Aye	12	12	12	12	12
Yorkstone	10	10	10	9	SP
Cant Stop Now	16	18	18	18	18
Retirement Beckons	25	22	20	20	22
Two Rivers	25	22	25	20	25
Hollis Brown	33	28	28	25	28
Pretty Bouquet	40	33	33	28	33
Rogue Force	40	33	33	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Camacho Star

22.1

OR: 2 Form: 16.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Fifty Sent

19.4

OR: 3 Form: 11.2 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Chinese Spirit

13.5

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 2.5

Bulls Aye

12.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Yorkstone

9.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 3

Golden Valour

9.1

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Ayr Poet

8.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Cant Stop Now

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Pretty Bouquet

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Yeeeaah

4.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Retirement Beckons

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Rogue Force

2.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Two Rivers

1.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Hollis Brown

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pretty Bouquet Top Rated	65	46	31
Bulls Aye	63	69	62
Cant Stop Now	63	70	63
Fifty Sent	62	70	64
Ayr Poet	60	73	57
Camacho Star	58	75	58
Golden Valour	58	73	61
Yorkstone	57	73	46
Yeeeaah	56	74	55
Rogue Force	56	70	47
Chinese Spirit	54	70	61
Two Rivers	51	66	52
Retirement Beckons	50	68	55
Hollis Brown	46	72	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ayr Poet	7d ago	Quick return
Two Rivers	10d ago	Quick return
Fifty Sent	13d ago	Quick return
Golden Valour	14d ago	Fit
Chinese Spirit	14d ago	Fit
Retirement Beckons	14d ago	Fit
Hollis Brown	14d ago	Fit
Rogue Force	14d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	18d ago	Fit
Pretty Bouquet	18d ago	Fit
Camacho Star	19d ago	Fit
Bulls Aye	26d ago	Fit
Yeeeaah	28d ago	Fit
Cant Stop Now	—	—