Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

20:00

Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Handicap

Date 2023-08-03

Distance 1m113y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Almarin Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Patrick Owens	J:Hector Crouch T:Patrick Owens	132	v	-08242	78	82	70	20d	—	—	-2	21.8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Form has see-sawed since 1m novice win as 2yo; respectable 1m handicap runs of late
1 (3)	Sly Madam Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Sheena West	J:George Bass(3) T:Sheena West	144	p	258026	82	86	72	20d	—	—	+1	15.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-2 over C&D (good and heavy); of interest back here with ground conditions to suit
2 (2)	Bear On The Loose Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	135	h	317	81	84	30	43d	—	—	+4	21.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made all on 2nd start (1m, soft); remote on AW since; conditions suit on handicap debut
7 (1)	Desfondado Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	128	—	367371	74	82	62	21d	—	—	+4	23.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Striking winner over C&D last month (good); up 7lb in higher grade; can improve further
3 (4)	Dumfries Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Marcus Tregoning	133	—	25-184	79	82	63	8d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
AW winner at 1m in March; track/trip excuses since; acts on soft; return to 1m can suit
6 (7)	Serious Look Grey J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	130	tp	47-555	76	80	66	15d	—	—	-1	9.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Course winner at 7f (soft) as 2yo; weak finisher at 1m on AW; needs more
NR (5)	Cobalt Blue Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	131	—	2-0743	77	83	69	14d	—	—	-2	15.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unproven on slower than good; solid 7f run here latest and return to 1m can suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Almarin	10/3	3	3/1	5/2	5/2
Sly Madam	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	4/1
Bear On The Loose	7/2	4	4	4	4
Desfondado	9/2	4	9/2	7/2	7/2
Dumfries	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Serious Look	8	8	17/2	8	8
Cobalt Blue	13/2	4	5	5	5

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desfondado

23.2

OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

9/2

2nd

Almarin

21.8

OR: 7 Form: 7.5 Odds: 7.3

10/3

3rd

Bear On The Loose

21.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Sly Madam

15.9

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Cobalt Blue

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

13/2

Dumfries

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Serious Look

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sly Madam	82	86	72
Bear On The Loose	81	84	30
Dumfries	79	82	63
Almarin	78	82	70
Cobalt Blue	77	83	69
Serious Look	76	80	66
Desfondado	74	82	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dumfries	8d ago	Quick return
Cobalt Blue	14d ago	Fit
Serious Look	15d ago	Fit
Almarin	20d ago	Fit
Sly Madam	20d ago	Fit
Desfondado	21d ago	Fit
Bear On The Loose	43d ago	Fit