Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

18:55

Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap

Date 2023-08-03

Distance 1m4f6y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Sweet Fantasy Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	142	p	4-5031	82	87	63	8d	—	—	-18	20.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Reliable sort and never better than when winning at Leicester (1m4f, soft) last Wednesday
3 (2)	Haarar Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	132	v	2-7336	72	86	71	27d	—	—	-8	16.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Not in peak form this year but there has been a little respite from the handicapper
6 (6)	Naasma Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	125	v	-26122	65	86	65	14d	—	—	+7	22.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Unraced on softer than good; on premises if acting on ground and taking to first headgear
NR (1)	Waterloo Sunset Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	125	—	-48324	65	86	54	36d	—	—	+1	11.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Running creditably; it was heavy rather than official soft when tailed off this April
4 (5)	Swift Tuttle Chestnut J:Pierre-Louis Jamin(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	130	ht	84-823	70	86	26	50d	—	—	+1	6.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Inconsistent 11-race maiden; pipped on penultimate start; ran well on heavy last term
5 (3)	Atalanta Breeze Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Marcus Tregoning	128	p	1-8039	68	85	48	21d	—	—	+4	14.4	3.25/1	14 7%
2-2 at Brighton; has won on good to soft, unraced on soft; mixed form messages this term
2 (4)	Wilkie Chestnut J:George Wood T:John Butler	J:George Wood T:John Butler	135	—	50-807	75	92	49	13d	—	—	+3	7.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Ex-French; fairly useful form on British debut (2022); no trace of that in four runs since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sweet Fantasy	6/5	6/5	6/5	5/4	5/4
Haarar	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Naasma	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Waterloo Sunset	9	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Swift Tuttle	16	16	16	16	16
Atalanta Breeze	14	8	10	8	17/2
Wilkie	20	20	22	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Naasma

22.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Sweet Fantasy

20.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

3rd

Haarar

16.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Atalanta Breeze

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

Waterloo Sunset

11.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

Wilkie

7.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Swift Tuttle

6.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sweet Fantasy	82	87	63
Wilkie	75	92	49
Haarar	72	86	71
Swift Tuttle	70	86	26
Atalanta Breeze	68	85	48
Naasma	65	86	65
Waterloo Sunset	65	86	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sweet Fantasy	8d ago	Quick return
Wilkie	13d ago	Quick return
Naasma	14d ago	Fit
Atalanta Breeze	21d ago	Fit
Haarar	27d ago	Fit
Waterloo Sunset	36d ago	Fit
Swift Tuttle	50d ago	Fresh