Alan Taylor Nursery Handicap – Chester

Chester

14:30

Alan Taylor Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-08-06

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,115

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Pretence Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Hugo Palmer	137	—	90012	72	75	58	23d	—	—	-3	26.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
C&D seller winner in June and just beaten in a nursery back here last time; high on list
3 (4)	Commander Crouch Bay J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	137	—	374	72	76	57	29d	—	—	-6	12.2	0.75/1	4 25%
Best effort when fourth at Nottingham last time; should stay 7f and considered
2 (1)	Making Dreams Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	137	—	29221	72	75	65	11d	—	—	+13	26.5	1.00/1	5 20%
Won a Catterick maiden last time and closely matched with Pretence on previous C&D running
5 (7)	Guns And Flowers Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	135	—	5413	70	71	55	9d	—	—	+8	17.7	1.75/1	8 13%
Strong-finishing third on nursery debut last time; shouldn't have a problem with 7f
8 (6)	Havana Prince Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Tony Coyle	J:Kevin Stott T:Tony Coyle	127	p	5498	62	73	62	22d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Finished fifth of the 16 runners in the Brocklesby, but hasn't built on it
6 (8)	Line Sheet Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	604	68	73	64	20d	—	—	-1	6.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Best effort when fourth at Windsor last time, shaping as though 7f would suit
NR (10)	Swift Salian Bay J:Jason Hart T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Jason Hart T:David & Nicola Barron	132	—	6623	67	74	66	16d	—	—	-2	16.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Return to this trip should suit, but has work to do from the outside stall
9 (2)	Jakima Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	123	—	479	58	71	40	16d	—	—	-4	4.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hasn't built on a promising debut, but bred to appreciate the extra furlong and well drawn
4 (9)	Moyet Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	135	—	355	70	74	66	22d	—	—	+2	8.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Hasn't built on a promising debut; needs to bounce back and has a high draw
10 (5)	Darkest Mile Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Lisa Williamson	114	—	088	49	47	32	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Beaten a very long way in three starts last month; similar scenario likely

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Pretence	2	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Commander Crouch	4	4	4	4	4
Making Dreams	5	5	5	5	5
Guns And Flowers	8	8	8	8	8
Havana Prince	11	10	17/2	10	10
Line Sheet	10	10	10	10	10
Swift Salian	14	14	14	14	14
Jakima	11	11/1	17/2	11	10
Moyet	12	12	12	12	12
Darkest Mile	66	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pretence

26.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 12 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Making Dreams

26.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 17 Odds: 4

3rd

Guns And Flowers

17.7

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

Swift Salian

16.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.4

Commander Crouch

12.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

Moyet

8.2

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Line Sheet

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Havana Prince

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Jakima

4.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Darkest Mile

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pretence	72	75	58
Commander Crouch	72	76	57
Making Dreams	72	75	65
Guns And Flowers	70	71	55
Moyet	70	74	66
Line Sheet	68	73	64
Swift Salian	67	74	66
Havana Prince	62	73	62
Jakima	58	71	40
Darkest Mile	49	47	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Guns And Flowers	9d ago	Quick return
Making Dreams	11d ago	Quick return
Darkest Mile	15d ago	Fit
Swift Salian	16d ago	Fit
Jakima	16d ago	Fit
Line Sheet	20d ago	Fit
Havana Prince	22d ago	Fit
Moyet	22d ago	Fit
Pretence	23d ago	Fit
Commander Crouch	29d ago	Fit