Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-08-09

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,940

Winning Time 1m 44.04s (slow by 6.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Measured Time (GB) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	4/6F	Won
2nd	Botanical (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	15/8	1.75
3rd	Lahab (GB) Hollie Doyle · Andrew Balding	25/1	2.25
4th	Moon Flight (IRE) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	150/1	0.3
5th	Godwinson (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	5/1	.5
6th	Marching Band (GB) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	66/1	1.75
7th	Ocean Heights (GB) Rob Hornby · David Pipe	250/1	2.25
8th	Monty Be Quick (IRE) Phil Dennis · David Evans	33/1	1.75
9th	Brigantes Warrior (GB) George Rooke · Richard Hughes	300/1	2.5
10th	Sir Patchy (GB) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	300/1	0.3
11th	Timely Artist (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	250/1	18

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Measured Time Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	136	h	1	-	89	63	189d	—	—	-25	28.7	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Impressive winning debut over C&D in February, but worrying that he hasn't been seen since
3 (5)	Botanical Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	136	—	21	-	91	53	20d	—	—	-7	22.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Built on promising debut here when winning easily at Hamilton last month; major player
4 (1)	Godwinson Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	136	—	31	-	93	-	41d	—	—	+2	16.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won easily over 1m1f at Hamilton on second start, but not sure returning to 1m is ideal
6 (11)	Lahab Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	130	—	39-	-	79	-	355d	—	—	-1	3.3	6.75/1	28 4%
Showed promise in both starts last year, but this looks tough after such a long absence
8 (6)	Monty Be Quick Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	130	—	2	-	69	-	10d	—	—	+3	5.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Promise when second on his recent Pontefract debut, but will need to improve a fair amount
7 (7)	Marching Band Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Looks the part on pedigree, but this looks a tough starting point
9 (8)	Moon Flight Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	74.75/1	300 0%
Would need to be above average to make a winning debut in this field; market helpful
11 (2)	Timely Artist Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
From a successful family but this looks a tough starting point
2 (10)	Ocean Heights Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:David Pipe	J:Rob Hornby T:David Pipe	137	t	52/	-	79	-	—	—	—	+4	5.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Bumper winner and second here in 2021, but poor over hurdles; returns from another absence
1 (9)	Brigantes Warrior Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	137	—	90	-	54	-	15d	—	—	0	0.1	124.75/1	500 0%
Nicely bred but well beaten in both starts; can be handicapped after this
10 (3)	Sir Patchy b/br J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	130	—	—	-	53	-	16d	—	—	0	0.1	124.75/1	500 0%
Beaten a long way on his Windsor debut last month; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Measured Time	4/6	8/13	8/13	8/13	8/13
Botanical	2	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Godwinson	5	5	5	5	11/2
Lahab	28	22/1	22/1	22/1	25
Monty Be Quick	33	33	33	33	28
Marching Band	40	50	50	50	50
Moon Flight	300	125/1	150	150	150
Timely Artist	300	200/1	200	200/1	150
Ocean Heights	200	250/1	200	200	200
Brigantes Warrior	500	300/1	300	250	250
Sir Patchy	500	300/1	300	250	250

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Measured Time

28.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 18.7

4/6

2nd

Botanical

22.4

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Godwinson

16.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Monty Be Quick

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Ocean Heights

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Lahab

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Marching Band

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Moon Flight

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

300

Timely Artist

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Brigantes Warrior

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500

Sir Patchy

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Measured Time	—	89	63
Botanical	—	91	53
Godwinson	—	93	—
Lahab	—	79	—
Monty Be Quick	—	69	—
Marching Band	—	—	—
Moon Flight	—	—	—
Timely Artist	—	—	—
Ocean Heights	—	79	—
Brigantes Warrior	—	54	—
Sir Patchy	—	53	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Monty Be Quick	10d ago	Quick return
Brigantes Warrior	15d ago	Fit
Sir Patchy	16d ago	Fit
Botanical	20d ago	Fit
Godwinson	41d ago	Fit
Measured Time	189d ago	Long break
Lahab	355d ago	Long break
Marching Band	—	—
Moon Flight	—	—
Timely Artist	—	—
Ocean Heights	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.