Rhino.Bet Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

14:40

Rhino.Bet Handicap

Date 2023-08-10

Distance 6f18y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,449

Winning Time 1m 13.74s (slow by 2.54s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	As If By Chance (GB) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	12/1	Won
2nd	Little Muddy (GB) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	9/2	1.5
3rd	Brazen Idol (GB) Richard Kingscote · John Butler	9/2	0.05
4th	Beyond Equal (GB) Rob Hornby · Stuart Kittow	16/1	2.75
5th	Lord P (GB) Ben Sanderson · Fergal O'Brien	14/1	0.3
6th	Beauty Choice (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	13/2	2.5
7th	Cubanista (GB) Ray Dawson · Pam Sly	15/2	1
8th	What A Whopper (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Brian Meehan	80/1	.5
9th	Red Hat Eagle (GB) Andrea Atzeni · William Knight	16/1	1
10th	Belle Fourche (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	14/1	7
11th	Sassy Belle (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Ed Walker	11/4F	4.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Sassy Belle Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Walker	138	p	21-434	77	85	60	17d	—	—	-9	13.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Return to slow conditions should help; yard been among the winners and she's shortlisted
2 (11)	Little Muddy Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	140	—	214628	75	83	74	13d	—	—	0	16.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Needs to bounce back; little wiggle room off this mark (5lb higher than when last winning)
9 (7)	Brazen Idol Brown J:Richard Kingscote T:John Butler	J:Richard Kingscote T:John Butler	133	—	152-43	68	82	63	12d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-5	8.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has resumed in good form and there's no obvious reason he won't go well again
6 (6)	Beauty Choice Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	136	v	706335	71	83	76	14d	—	—	+2	11.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Disappointing latest when the return to soft ground wouldn't have hurt; has to bounce back
4 (3)	As If By Chance Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	139	—	493167	74	82	58	40d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Looked to have no excuses last time; hard to make a case for soft ground being optimal
1 (1)	Belle Fourche Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	141	tp	1387-3	76	81	-	24d	—	—	+3	11.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Plenty to like about her recent comeback and she's entitled to have come on for that
10 (9)	Cubanista Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Pam Sly	J:Ray Dawson T:Pam Sly	132	p	-30273	67	82	74	20d	—	—	+4	12.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Often pulls hard and has become wildly inconsistent; hard to know what to expect
7 (5)	Red Hat Eagle Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:William Knight	J:Andrea Atzeni T:William Knight	136	—	33-7	75	74	40	22d	—	—	+1	8.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Retains some potential down from 7f; the market will show what's made of his opening mark
8 (2)	Lord P Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Fergal Obrien	134	t	5403-4	69	81	72	73d	—	—	+1	6.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Never run on soft ground; remains just above his highest winning mark, so bit to overcome
3 (4)	Beyond Equal Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	139	—	-54775	74	84	62	46d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Not as good now; ran poorly last time and is some way down the pecking order
11 (10)	What A Whopper Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Brian Meehan	J:Trevor Whelan T:Brian Meehan	126	—	507-8	65	80	73	15d	—	—	+3	4.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Achieved little to date, including on his comeback a fortnight ago; is hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sassy Belle	10/3	3	3	5/2	3/1
Little Muddy	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Brazen Idol	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Beauty Choice	15/2	7	13/2	7	7
As If By Chance	10	8	8	8	8/1
Belle Fourche	10	9	17/2	8	9/1
Cubanista	9	9	17/2	9	9
Red Hat Eagle	10	12	11	11	12/1
Lord P	14	18	18	18	18/1
Beyond Equal	22	18	16	18	18
What A Whopper	66	50	50	50	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Little Muddy

16.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

As If By Chance

14.4

OR: 6 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.5

3rd

Sassy Belle

13.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Cubanista

12.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Belle Fourche

11.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Beauty Choice

11.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Red Hat Eagle

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Brazen Idol

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Beyond Equal

7.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Lord P

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

What A Whopper

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sassy Belle	77	85	60
Belle Fourche	76	81	—
Little Muddy	75	83	74
Red Hat Eagle	75	74	40
As If By Chance	74	82	58
Beyond Equal	74	84	62
Beauty Choice	71	83	76
Lord P	69	81	72
Brazen Idol	68	82	63
Cubanista	67	82	74
What A Whopper	65	80	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brazen Idol	12d ago	Quick return
Little Muddy	13d ago	Quick return
Beauty Choice	14d ago	Fit
What A Whopper	15d ago	Fit
Sassy Belle	17d ago	Fit
Cubanista	20d ago	Fit
Red Hat Eagle	22d ago	Fit
Belle Fourche	24d ago	Fit
As If By Chance	40d ago	Fit
Beyond Equal	46d ago	Fresh
Lord P	73d ago	Fresh