Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) – Ascot

Ascot

15:20

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap)

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 7f213y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £39,344

Winning Time 1m 44.62s (slow by 5.42s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Perotto (GB) Thore Hammer Hansen · Roger Varian	100/30	Won
2nd	Fox Tal (GB) Joao Moreira · Andrew Balding	20/1	0.2
3rd	Empirestateofmind (IRE) Frankie Dettori · John Quinn	5/2F	1
4th	Silent Film (GB) Kazuo Yokoyama · Ian Williams	12/1	2.25
5th	The Wizard Of Eye (IRE) Tom Marquand · J S Moore	13/2	.5
6th	Positive Impact (IRE) Hayley Turner · Simon & Ed Crisford	10/1	0.2
7th	Rainbow Fire (IRE) Olivier Peslier · Marco Botti	6/1	0.1
8th	Escobar (IRE) Saffie Osborne · David O'Meara	13/2	.5
9th	Excel Power (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Archie Watson	40/1	.5
10th	Freescape (GB) Matthew Chadwick · David Marnane	66/1	4

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Perotto Chestnut J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Roger Varian	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Roger Varian	133	h	9-7017	98	114	90	8d	—	—	-3	18.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won two starts ago; credentials on softer than good are more shaky but he's considered
9 (10)	Empirestateofmind Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:John Quinn	J:Frankie Dettori T:John Quinn	133	b	-72095	98	115	90	14d	—	—	+1	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Goes well on softer than good; respectable fifth over straight 1m here (good) latest
6 (1)	Positive Impact Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Hayley Turner T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	—	221-08	100	110	91	183d	—	—	+5	15.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Improved win (1m, AW) last September; struggled in two handicaps at Meydan early this year
3 (3)	Escobar Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:David Omeara	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Omeara	137	t	344000	102	116	85	8d	—	—	+4	16.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
5lb lower than for valuable win here (7f, good to soft) last October; case can be made
8 (9)	Rainbow Fire Bay J:Olivier Peslier T:Marco Botti	J:Olivier Peslier T:Marco Botti	133	—	1-2108	98	114	90	28d	—	—	+11	22.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Return to 1m (last five runs were 7f) is more than plausible and he could be interesting
1 (7)	The Wizard Of Eye Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:J S Moore	J:Tom Marquand T:J S Moore	138	p	-36966	103	111	94	8d	—	—	+7	16.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Showed enough when sixth of 20 at Goodwood (1m, soft) last week to be given a second look
4 (4)	Fox Tal Bay J:Joao Moreira T:Andrew Balding	J:Joao Moreira T:Andrew Balding	136	h	4/13-4	101	111	-	211d	—	—	+9	14.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Absent 328 days before well below form in an AW race this January; 1m may be too short
10 (8)	Silent Film Chestnut J:Kazuo Yokoyama T:Ian Williams	J:Kazuo Yokoyama T:Ian Williams	133	—	0-5380	98	112	69	35d	—	—	+6	14.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Never dangerous behind Perotto at Sandown when trying 1m for first time in over two years
NR (5)	Outbreak Bay J:TBC T:Charlie Johnston	J: T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	391500	95	112	68	11d	—	—	+11	15.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Reserve; dropped right out in the Hunt Cup here (1m) and at Goodwood (1m2f) last week
NR (2)	Bear Force One Bay J:TBC T:Roger Teal	J: T:Roger Teal	131	p	731010	96	112	75	52d	—	—	+16	24.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Reserve; two 1m wins this spring; his other two turf runs in 2023 were heavy defeats here
5 (12)	Excel Power Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Archie Watson	J:Declan McDonogh T:Archie Watson	135	—	712-66	100	105	51	13d	—	—	+11	13.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Career-best form over about 1m on AW last winter; lots to find on turf form
2 (11)	Freescape Chestnut J:Matthew Chadwick T:David Marnane	J:Matthew Chadwick T:David Marnane	137	—	-57867	102	110	27	17d	—	—	+11	13.6	16.25/1	66 2%
AW winner, 0-32 on turf; this run would have to be one of his best to give him any chance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Perotto	3	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3
Empirestateofmind	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Positive Impact	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Escobar	13/2	6	5	6	13/2
Rainbow Fire	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1	6/1
The Wizard Of Eye	7	13/2	13/2	7	15/2
Fox Tal	16	16	14	16	16
Silent Film	11	10	9/1	11	11
Outbreak	20	20	16	18	18
Bear Force One	28	25	22	28	28
Excel Power	40	33	28	33/1	33
Freescape	66	40	50/1	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bear Force One

24.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.5

2nd

Rainbow Fire

22.3

OR: 12 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Empirestateofmind

18.7

OR: 12 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Perotto

18.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

The Wizard Of Eye

16.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Escobar

16.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Positive Impact

15.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Outbreak

15.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Silent Film

14.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Fox Tal

14.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Freescape

13.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Excel Power

13.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Wizard Of Eye	103	111	94
Escobar	102	116	85
Freescape	102	110	27
Fox Tal	101	111	—
Positive Impact	100	110	91
Excel Power	100	105	51
Perotto	98	114	90
Empirestateofmind	98	115	90
Rainbow Fire	98	114	90
Silent Film	98	112	69
Bear Force One	96	112	75
Outbreak	95	112	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perotto	8d ago	Quick return
Escobar	8d ago	Quick return
The Wizard Of Eye	8d ago	Quick return
Outbreak	11d ago	Quick return
Excel Power	13d ago	Quick return
Empirestateofmind	14d ago	Fit
Freescape	17d ago	Fit
Rainbow Fire	28d ago	Fit
Silent Film	35d ago	Fit
Bear Force One	52d ago	Fresh
Positive Impact	183d ago	Long break
Fox Tal	211d ago	Long break