Specsavers Handicap – Ayr · The Final Fence

Ayr

19:37

Specsavers Handicap

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 1m 13.42s (slow by 4.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Thaki (IRE) Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	12/1	Won
2nd	Kats Bob (GB) Aiden Brookes · Iain Jardine	15/8F	1
3rd	The Caltonian (GB) Andrew Mullen · Linda Perratt	7/1	.5
4th	Caribbean Sunset (IRE) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	100/30	1
5th	Mighty Power (IRE) Shane Gray · Stella Barclay	14/1	0.3
6th	Sparkling Spirit (GB) Dougie Costello · Adrian Paul Keatley	22/1	1.25
7th	One Last Hug (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	7/1	0.05
8th	Burtonlodge Beauty (IRE) James Sullivan · Linda Perratt	100/1	1.75
9th	South Dakota Sioux (IRE) Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	18/1	.5
10th	Bloomin Robbery (IRE) Andrew Breslin · R Mike Smith	50/1	1.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Kats Bob Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Iain Jardine	143	p	885291	68	75	58	12d	—	—	-2	25.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Well backed when beating Caribbean Sunset over C&D 12 days ago; leading contender
4 (6)	Caribbean Sunset Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	138	—	433321	63	74	55	9d	—	—	+6	25.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Had been threatening over C&D before his AW win last week; major player despite 3lb rise
5 (9)	One Last Hug Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	136	—	162134	61	73	65	22d	—	—	+3	14.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Three course wins in 2023; respectable efforts the last twice; P Mulrennan a good booking
9 (4)	Havana Rum Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	134	v	1-7527	63	73	57	30d	—	—	+3	12.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Easy AW winner at two; not found same form this year but down in weights & new headgear
6 (3)	The Caltonian Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Mullen T:Linda Perratt	135	—	685266	60	71	65	5d	—	—	0	6.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Good 2nd over C&D on h'cap debut; not quite at the same level twice since; low mileage
2 (2)	Thaki Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	141	t	333167	66	73	57	35d	—	—	+6	12.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Fast-ground winner at Hamilton in May; less good since and rain wouldn't be beneficial
3 (11)	Mighty Power Grey J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	141	—	167077	66	60	38	22d	—	—	0	5.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Quiet on turf of late but the handicapper is dropping him in chunks; check betting
8 (8)	Sparkling Spirit Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Dougie Costello T:Adrian Paul Keatley	134	—	5-3334	63	71	54	17d	—	—	0	4.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Two fair h'cap runs on fast Lingfield turf; needs more for the slower ground to win
7 (5)	South Dakota Sioux Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David Omeara	J:Ben Robinson T:David Omeara	135	—	132606	64	72	61	21d	—	—	+2	6.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Strong traveller who is still on a good mark; prospect of rain is a worry though
11 (10)	Bloomin Robbery Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	117	—	744845	46	70	46	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Handicap debut was fair enough but less good one week later; opposable up in class
10 (1)	Burtonlodge Beauty Bay J:James Sullivan T:Linda Perratt	J:James Sullivan T:Linda Perratt	121	p	867037	46	58	45	5d	—	—	+1	2.6	12.25/1	50 2%
50-1 winner at Hamilton last summer (5f, soft); struggling this year though and opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kats Bob	2	2	2	2	15/8
Caribbean Sunset	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
One Last Hug	7	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Havana Rum	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
The Caltonian	12	11	10	12	12
Thaki	12	12	14	12	12
Mighty Power	14	14	14	14	14
Sparkling Spirit	16	16	18	16	16
South Dakota Sioux	16	18	16	18	20
Bloomin Robbery	33	40	40	40	40
Burtonlodge Beauty	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caribbean Sunset

25.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Kats Bob

25.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8.4

15/8

3rd

One Last Hug

14.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Havana Rum

12.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Thaki

12.1

OR: 4 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

The Caltonian

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

South Dakota Sioux

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Mighty Power

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Sparkling Spirit

4.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Burtonlodge Beauty

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

Bloomin Robbery

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kats Bob	68	75	58
Thaki	66	73	57
Mighty Power	66	60	38
South Dakota Sioux	64	72	61
Caribbean Sunset	63	74	55
Havana Rum	63	73	57
Sparkling Spirit	63	71	54
One Last Hug	61	73	65
The Caltonian	60	71	65
Bloomin Robbery	46	70	46
Burtonlodge Beauty	46	58	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Caltonian	5d ago	Quick return
Burtonlodge Beauty	5d ago	Quick return
Caribbean Sunset	9d ago	Quick return
Kats Bob	12d ago	Quick return
Bloomin Robbery	12d ago	Quick return
Sparkling Spirit	17d ago	Fit
South Dakota Sioux	21d ago	Fit
One Last Hug	22d ago	Fit
Mighty Power	22d ago	Fit
Havana Rum	30d ago	Fit
Thaki	35d ago	Fit