JenningsBet Fillies' Nursery Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

15:10

JenningsBet Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-08-19

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,800

Winning Time 1m 26.25s (slow by 2.95s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lincoln Legacy (IRE) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	5/1	Won
2nd	Expensive Queen (IRE) James Doyle · Kevin Ryan	9/4	1.25
3rd	Lady Wulfrun (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	7/4F	1.5
4th	Crocus Time (IRE) Andrea Atzeni · Richard Hannon	6/1	3
5th	Rating (IRE) Rob Hornby · Brian Meehan	40/1	1.25
6th	Buttercross Flyer (IRE) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	10/1	1.75
7th	Lucy Lockett (GB) Adam Farragher · David Simcock	20/1	7.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Lady Wulfrun Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	7431	77	88	74	7d	—	—	-4	29.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Justified favouritism over C&D last Saturday on nursery debut; steadily improving
1 (4)	Expensive Queen Bay J:James Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	J:James Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	135	—	15	82	81	61	23d	—	—	+1	20.7	0.50/1	3 33%
Debut scorer at Haydock then faced difficult task in Listed grade; may do better still
5 (1)	Crocus Time Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Richard Hannon	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Richard Hannon	128	—	3333	75	86	75	22d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Very consistent thus far and has two pieces of course form; solid contender
3 (5)	Lincoln Legacy Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	136	76	84	47	16d	—	—	+4	17.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Failed to get home in 7f nursery on soft going at Glorious Goodwood
NR (7)	Tokyo Dreamer Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Williams	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Williams	124	p	833332	71	85	83	1d	—	—	+9	17.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent over 7f, close 2nd in first-time cheekpieces at Epsom on Friday; handicap debut
7 (3)	Buttercross Flyer Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	119	—	522	66	87	79	11d	—	—	+7	14.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Creditable second at Catterick in last two maiden runs; could go well
8 (2)	Lucy Lockett Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:David Simcock	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:David Simcock	114	h	449	61	83	80	28d	—	—	-1	4.1	3.75/1	16 6%
May struggle at this level; eligible for much weaker nurseries than this
4 (8)	Rating Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	129	—	6300	76	86	61	37d	—	—	+6	8.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Failed to beat a rival here last month; peak RPR came on sole AW run

Horse	bet365	Coral
Lady Wulfrun	13/8	13/8
Expensive Queen	3	3
Crocus Time	11/2	11/2
Lincoln Legacy	11/2	11/2
Tokyo Dreamer	8	15/2
Buttercross Flyer	11	10
Lucy Lockett	16	14
Rating	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Wulfrun

29.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Expensive Queen

20.7

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

3rd

Tokyo Dreamer

17.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Crocus Time

17.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Lincoln Legacy

17.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Buttercross Flyer

14.6

OR: 4 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.1

Rating

8.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Lucy Lockett

4.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Expensive Queen	82	81	61
Lady Wulfrun	77	88	74
Lincoln Legacy	76	84	47
Rating	76	86	61
Crocus Time	75	86	75
Tokyo Dreamer	71	85	83
Buttercross Flyer	66	87	79
Lucy Lockett	61	83	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tokyo Dreamer	1d ago	Quick return
Lady Wulfrun	7d ago	Quick return
Buttercross Flyer	11d ago	Quick return
Lincoln Legacy	16d ago	Fit
Crocus Time	22d ago	Fit
Expensive Queen	23d ago	Fit
Lucy Lockett	28d ago	Fit
Rating	37d ago	Fit