Heavenly Hot Tub Holidaying Handicap Hurdle – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

20:00

Heavenly Hot Tub Holidaying Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-08-19

Distance 2m2f140y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12	Diana Prince Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Paul Midgley	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Paul Midgley	144	—	/5-681	81	112	95	13d	—	—	-5	13.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D win latest came in a quicker time than Spot On Soph's; wouldn't mind good ground
5	Spot On Soph Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	157	t	554-41	94	108	78	13d	—	—	-3	16.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Up 9lb for easy C&D hurdles win latest (good to soft); wouldn't want a complete dryout
10	Misty Mani Bay J:Luke Scott(7) T:Peter Niven	J:Luke Scott(7) T:Peter Niven	147	—	52-5P7	84	111	70	28d	—	—	0	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
2-2 over C&D (including this race last year), but still higher in the weights at present
11	Game Beaaa Brown J:Sean Quinlan T:Daragh Bourke	J:Sean Quinlan T:Daragh Bourke	144	t	-P0447	81	111	57	25d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
No improvement for sustained return to hold-up tactics; others are more convincing
2	Lucky Lover Boy Bay J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	167	tp	212-55	104	110	68	30d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.75/1	12 8%
May have needed both starts this summer; purple patch started about this time last year
7	Pateen b/br J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Jessica Bedi	J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Jessica Bedi	155	tv	2-1852	92	109	92	18d	—	—	+10	15.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Mostly holding form well since Hexham May win (a fifth over hurdles); readily shortlisted
3	Genever Dragon Bay J:Charlie Maggs(10) T:Donald Mccain	J:Charlie Maggs(10) T:Donald Mccain	161	b	312-37	98	109	94	30d	—	—	+8	13.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Trip and good ground fine, and generally consistent enough to warrant place consideration
14	Prospect House Bay J:William Maggs(7) T:Peter Niven	J:William Maggs(7) T:Peter Niven	142	p	0-8267	79	107	71	18d	—	—	+4	8.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Second here in May (about 2m1f); not gone on since, but might appreciate tonight's trip
8	Magna Moralia Grey J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Caoilin Quinn(5) T:Mike Sowersby	150	v	726425	87	108	82	28d	—	—	+10	15.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Two seconds at around 2m4f here this summer; likely needs to find a bit more in the visor
1	Due Reward Bay J:Miss Alice Stevens(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Miss Alice Stevens(7) T:L J Morgan	168	v	3P-153	105	103	-	28d	—	—	+10	15.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Refused to settle last twice, so some risks, but thrown in on peak Irish hurdles form
6	Embolden Bay J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Clare Hobson	J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Clare Hobson	156	—	13-P35	93	110	105	—	—	—	+8	12	4.25/1	18 6%
Has basically held his hurdling form since April win (2m1.5f, soft); poor on Flat latest
9	Sehayli Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	150	—	0P/6-P	87	102	-	41d	—	—	+5	10.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Offered little on recent return from 13 months out; overlooked despite smart connections
4	Baikal Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Adam West	J:Lee Edwards T:Adam West	159	t	6-167	100	106	73	—	—	—	+10	13.3	8.00/1	33 3%
25-1 Worcester maiden winner in May (2m, good) but hasn't kicked on since; handicap debut
13	High Yield Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Sara Ender	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Sara Ender	142	p	34PP-P	79	110	76	13d	—	—	+6	7.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Yet to complete any of his three handicap starts; drop back in trip isn't persuasive.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Diana Prince	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Spot On Soph	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Misty Mani	6	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Game Beaaa	6	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Lucky Lover Boy	12	11/1	10/1	12	11
Pateen	14	14	12	14	14
Genever Dragon	16	14	12	14	16
Prospect House	16	16	14	16	16
Magna Moralia	16	16	14	16	16
Due Reward	20	16	14	16	16
Embolden	18	18	16	18	18
Sehayli	14	16/1	16/1	14	16
Baikal	33	28	25	28	28
High Yield	66	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spot On Soph

16.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Lucky Lover Boy

15.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Pateen

15.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

Magna Moralia

15.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

Due Reward

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Genever Dragon

13.6

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Baikal

13.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Diana Prince

13.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Embolden

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Misty Mani

11.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Game Beaaa

11.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Sehayli

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Prospect House

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

High Yield

7.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Due Reward	105	103	—
Lucky Lover Boy	104	110	68
Baikal	100	106	73
Genever Dragon	98	109	94
Spot On Soph	94	108	78
Embolden	93	110	105
Pateen	92	109	92
Magna Moralia	87	108	82
Sehayli	87	102	—
Misty Mani	84	111	70
Diana Prince	81	112	95
Game Beaaa	81	111	57
Prospect House	79	107	71
High Yield	79	110	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Diana Prince	13d ago	Quick return
Spot On Soph	13d ago	Quick return
High Yield	13d ago	Quick return
Pateen	18d ago	Fit
Prospect House	18d ago	Fit
Game Beaaa	25d ago	Fit
Misty Mani	28d ago	Fit
Magna Moralia	28d ago	Fit
Due Reward	28d ago	Fit
Lucky Lover Boy	30d ago	Fit
Genever Dragon	30d ago	Fit
Sehayli	41d ago	Fit
Embolden	—	—
Baikal	—	—