Newark Advertiser Classified Stakes (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:35

Newark Advertiser Classified Stakes (Div I)

Date 2023-08-20

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 15.68s (slow by 3.48s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Deputise (GB) Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	10/1	Won
2nd	Flavius Titus (GB) Sam Feilden · Danny Brooke	7/2	.75
3rd	Blackcurrent (GB) Paula Muir · Alan Brown	16/1	1
4th	Red Walls (GB) Alex Jary · Lisa Williamson	5/1	0.3
5th	Wrath Of Hector (GB) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	3/1F	.75
6th	Aclaim To Fame (IRE) Phil Dennis · Rebecca Menzies	10/1	1.75
7th	Thegreatestshowman (GB) Hollie Doyle · Amy Murphy	4/1	2.25
8th	Gypsy Nation (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	14/1	.5
9th	Suntory Star (IRE) Faye McManoman · Sara Ender	50/1	1.75
10th	Sir Arthur's Boy (GB) Shane Gray · Ann Duffield	100/1	25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Wrath Of Hector Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	131	—	062225	49	68	50	32d	—	—	-8	14.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Three-time course winner; only fifth at Wolverhampton last time; bit more needed
6 (8)	Thegreatestshowman Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	131	tp	548922	49	64	49	11d	—	—	-4	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Losing run up to 22, but runner-up on consecutive days last week, others preferred for win
1 (3)	Flavius Titus Chestnut J:Sam Feilden(7) T:Danny Brooke	J:Sam Feilden(7) T:Danny Brooke	134	b	-00201	53	66	-	9d	—	—	+3	17.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
AW winner who scored well at Thirsk last time; respected despite penalty
4 (2)	Red Walls Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Lisa Williamson	131	—	998534	48	58	50	3d	—	—	-9	6.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Third behind Flavius Titus at Thirsk on penultimate start and 4lb better off
3 (6)	Deputise Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	131	—	-40969	50	62	63	142d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Losing run now up to 31, but he drops to this level for the first time
8 (10)	Aclaim To Fame Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Phil Dennis T:Rebecca Menzies	128	v	425057	50	53	35	17d	—	—	-5	3.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Hasn't built on the promise of her first two starts in the spring, but drops in grade
9 (9)	Gypsy Nation Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	t	559845	43	58	36	5d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Unplaced all ten starts and behind Thegreatestshowman on his penultimate outing
2 (4)	Blackcurrent Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	131	p	248387	46	63	53	107d	—	—	-2	2.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Multiple Tapeta winner, but not at his best the last twice
5 (1)	Suntory Star Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Sara Ender	J:Faye McManoman T:Sara Ender	131	h	000/93	49	61	-	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Improved a great deal when third at Catterick last time; needs to back it up
10 (5)	Sir Arthurs Boy Bay J:Shane Gray T:Ann Duffield	J:Shane Gray T:Ann Duffield	128	b	608-00	50	63	52	81d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Huge prices and shown little in five starts; blinkers on

Horse	bet365	Coral
Wrath Of Hector	3	3
Thegreatestshowman	4	9/2
Flavius Titus	9/2	9/2
Red Walls	5/1	9/2
Deputise	8	8
Aclaim To Fame	10	9
Gypsy Nation	14	14
Blackcurrent	18	16
Suntory Star	33	33
Sir Arthurs Boy	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flavius Titus

17.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Wrath Of Hector

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 6.7

3rd

Thegreatestshowman

13.5

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Red Walls

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Aclaim To Fame

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

Blackcurrent

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Deputise

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Gypsy Nation

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Suntory Star

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Sir Arthurs Boy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flavius Titus	53	66	—
Deputise	50	62	63
Aclaim To Fame	50	53	35
Sir Arthurs Boy	50	63	52
Wrath Of Hector	49	68	50
Thegreatestshowman	49	64	49
Suntory Star	49	61	—
Red Walls	48	58	50
Blackcurrent	46	63	53
Gypsy Nation	43	58	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Walls	3d ago	Quick return
Gypsy Nation	5d ago	Quick return
Flavius Titus	9d ago	Quick return
Thegreatestshowman	11d ago	Quick return
Suntory Star	12d ago	Quick return
Aclaim To Fame	17d ago	Fit
Wrath Of Hector	32d ago	Fit
Sir Arthurs Boy	81d ago	Fresh
Blackcurrent	107d ago	Long break
Deputise	142d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.