AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (For Jockeys With No More Than 3 Wins At Start Of Season)

Carlisle

14:05

Date 2023-08-23

Distance 1m3f39y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,229

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Flying Moon Bay J:Mr Jack Nicholls T:R Mike Smith	J:Mr Jack Nicholls T:R Mike Smith	150	—	206445	54	52	40	39d	—	—	-13	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In good nick, fifth in Hamilton handicap last month; he's one for the shortlist eased 1lb
8 (9)	Aighear Bay J:Miss Ailsa McClung(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Miss Ailsa McClung(3) T:Jim Goldie	144	—	654822	48	51	30	9d	—	—	-4	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Is knocking on the door, very good Hamilton second 9 days ago; big shout off same mark
6 (3)	Owens Lad Bay J:Mr Paul Kavanagh(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Mr Paul Kavanagh(3) T:David Loughnane	148	tb	419042	52	50	30	34d	—	—	-4	11.9	0.75/1	4 25%
Won at Southwell and good second at Leicester latest; firmly in the picture nudged up 1lb
3 (7)	Lechro Chestnut J:Miss Molly Landau T:Jennie Candlish	J:Miss Molly Landau T:Jennie Candlish	155	v	690451	59	56	28	22d	—	—	+2	16.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Visored first time when wide-margin Leicester winner latest; up 8lb but not taken lightly
7 (8)	Chief Craftsman Grey Roan J:Mr Thomas Easterby T:Tim Easterby	J:Mr Thomas Easterby T:Tim Easterby	148	p	383163	52	49	44	19d	—	—	+1	12.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won at Doncaster in July and continued in good form; well in the mix off unchanged mark
NR (5)	Super Stars Bay J:Miss Elle Paterson T:Julie Camacho	J:Miss Elle Paterson T:Julie Camacho	158	—	383-47	62	50	27	71d	—	—	-9	8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Below par when 7th at Ayr on final run for Adrian Keatley; not discounted for new yard
9 (6)	Milltown Lily Bay J:Mr Jack Lander T:Micky Hammond	J:Mr Jack Lander T:Micky Hammond	142	t	7-3448	46	48	20	12d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Still to register a victory but she comes here in decent nick; possibilities
4 (2)	Sefton Warrior Bay J:Mr Paddy Hanlon T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Mr Paddy Hanlon T:John Joseph Hanlon	154	t	/956/0	58	-	-	2d	—	—	-1	3.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Off 18 months before beating only one at Catterick 2 days ago; big step forward is needed
NR (4)	Ebony Maw Bay J:Mr Matt Brown T:Ewan Whillans	J:Mr Matt Brown T:Ewan Whillans	156	—	2-0076	60	44	16	18d	—	—	+2	7.4	3.75/1	16 6%
His sole victory came back in 2020 and he arrives out of sorts too; others much preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Flying Moon	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	3
Aighear	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Owens Lad	4	4	4	4	4
Lechro	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Chief Craftsman	11/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Super Stars	11/2	5	7/2	5	5
Milltown Lily	8	8	15/2	17/2	17/2
Sefton Warrior	18	18	20/1	20/1	20
Ebony Maw	—	16	16	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lechro

16.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Aighear

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Chief Craftsman

12.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 8.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Owens Lad

11.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

Super Stars

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Ebony Maw

7.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Flying Moon

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Sefton Warrior

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Milltown Lily

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Super Stars	62	50	27
Ebony Maw	60	44	16
Lechro	59	56	28
Sefton Warrior	58	—	—
Flying Moon	54	52	40
Owens Lad	52	50	30
Chief Craftsman	52	49	44
Aighear	48	51	30
Milltown Lily	46	48	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sefton Warrior	2d ago	Quick return
Aighear	9d ago	Quick return
Milltown Lily	12d ago	Quick return
Ebony Maw	18d ago	Fit
Chief Craftsman	19d ago	Fit
Lechro	22d ago	Fit
Owens Lad	34d ago	Fit
Flying Moon	39d ago	Fit
Super Stars	71d ago	Fresh