Bowscale Maiden Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

16:55

Bowscale Maiden Handicap

Date 2023-08-23

Distance 6f195y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 26.26s (slow by 2.16s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Elettaria (IRE) Ryan Sexton · John Wainwright	15/2	Won
2nd	Highland Queen (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Bryan Smart	11/1	.75
3rd	Independent Beauty (GB) Joanna Mason · Lisa Williamson	18/1	2
4th	Wurkin Ninetofive (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	12/1	2.25
5th	The Caltonian (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Linda Perratt	100/30	0.3
5th	Fortuitous Star (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	9/4F	0
7th	Mister Sox (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	3/1	1.5
8th	Fighting Chance (GB) Andrew Elliott · Simon West	80/1	1.75
9th	Madge McSplash (GB) Faye McManoman · Steph Hollinshead	33/1	6.5
10th	Dark Eclipse (IRE) Connor Murtagh · Fred Watson	200/1	21

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Fortuitous Star Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	131	—	34-332	56	68	62	11d	—	—	-17	9.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Reliable sort; very good Redcar second latest; up 2lb but merits serious consideration
1 (2)	The Caltonian Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	140	—	852663	60	66	60	11d	—	—	-6	12.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Low-mileage 4yo; back on track when third at Ayr 11 days ago; in the mix off same mark
2 (1)	Mister Sox Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	134	b	367523	59	68	48	16d	—	—	-1	12.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In good nick, fading third at Ripon latest; player with drop back to 7f a likely plus
7 (8)	Elettaria Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:John Wainwright	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:John Wainwright	126	p	006494	46	63	55	7d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
One of better efforts when fourth in Beverley h'cap a week ago; she needs to back it up
3 (3)	Wurkin Ninetofive Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	133	h	696386	58	67	60	12d	—	—	-3	5.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Back on song when sixth at Thirsk 12 days ago; hood on and not discounted off 2lb lower
5 (9)	Highland Queen Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Bryan Smart	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Bryan Smart	126	—	5-0950	46	65	34	12d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Yet to make frame in 4 starts this term; no forlorn hope if building on recent Thirsk 10th
6 (5)	Independent Beauty Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Lisa Williamson	J:Joanna Mason T:Lisa Williamson	126	—	708358	46	66	48	120d	—	—	-3	3.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Longstanding maiden; off since 8th at Wolverhampton in April; needs to hit ground running
10 (10)	Madge Mcsplash Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Faye McManoman T:Steph Hollinshead	121	—	900	46	50	24	21d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Has beaten just one rival in her three outings; lots more needed now handicapping
9 (7)	Fighting Chance Chestnut J:Andrew Elliott T:Simon West	J:Andrew Elliott T:Simon West	126	p	-00907	46	53	37	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Has yet to finish better than sixth in his 14 starts to date; others are much preferred
8 (4)	Dark Eclipse Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Fred Watson	J:Connor Murtagh T:Fred Watson	126	p	66/70-	46	-	-	340d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
7yo who failed to beat a rival on both starts last autumn; very hard to make a case for

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fortuitous Star	9/4	2	2	9/4	9/4
The Caltonian	7/2	10/3	4	7/2	10/3
Mister Sox	5	5	5	5	9/2
Elettaria	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Wurkin Ninetofive	17/2	9	8	9	9
Highland Queen	11	10	10	10	10
Independent Beauty	12	12	11	12	12/1
Madge Mcsplash	28	28	28	28	33
Fighting Chance	100	80	80	80	80
Dark Eclipse	150	125	125	125	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mister Sox

12.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

The Caltonian

12.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Fortuitous Star

9.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Wurkin Ninetofive

5.9

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Elettaria

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Independent Beauty

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Highland Queen

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Madge Mcsplash

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Fighting Chance

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Dark Eclipse

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Caltonian	60	66	60
Mister Sox	59	68	48
Wurkin Ninetofive	58	67	60
Fortuitous Star	56	68	62
Elettaria	46	63	55
Highland Queen	46	65	34
Independent Beauty	46	66	48
Madge Mcsplash	46	50	24
Fighting Chance	46	53	37
Dark Eclipse	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Elettaria	7d ago	Quick return
Fortuitous Star	11d ago	Quick return
The Caltonian	11d ago	Quick return
Wurkin Ninetofive	12d ago	Quick return
Highland Queen	12d ago	Quick return
Fighting Chance	12d ago	Quick return
Mister Sox	16d ago	Fit
Madge Mcsplash	21d ago	Fit
Independent Beauty	120d ago	Long break
Dark Eclipse	340d ago	Long break