Download The Bresbet App Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:25

Download The Bresbet App Handicap

Date 2023-08-30

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (14)	Blue Flame Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Williams	135	tp	-59890	65	-	-	11d	—	—	-35	23.8	—	—
Came last in two 6f turf handicaps this month but 7f on AW is much more his bag
2 (4)	How Impressive Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	142	tv	255403	72	83	6	18d	—	—	-7	15.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Placed on turf this month and returns to AW on a good mark; high on the list
3 (9)	Silver Screen Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Jack Jones	J:Ross Coakley T:Jack Jones	140	—	525476	70	78	34	16d	—	—	-4	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Denied clear run when very respectable sixth at Wolverhampton this month; considered
7 (3)	Saturnalia Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Richard Hughes	J:Cieren Fallon T:Richard Hughes	137	—	267562	72	82	72	18d	—	—	+1	14.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Clear second in 6f turf handicap here this month; gets another chance off the same mark
1 (8)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Jason Watson T:Mark Rimell	J:Jason Watson T:Mark Rimell	142	t	516977	72	79	45	18d	—	—	+1	10	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won off 2lb higher in May but his tendency to start slowly has become a serious concern
14 (12)	Purple Poppy Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	121	—	0-3122	51	76	69	15d	—	—	-6	2.6	2.00/1	9 11%
In good form but has combination of ride in grade and wide draw to overcome today
5 (7)	Maharajas Express Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	137	—	2-8808	72	70	58	25d	—	—	+3	11.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Comes here after two heavy defeats on turf; needs to get back on track
4 (5)	Ideal Guest Bay J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	137	p	574331	67	77	-	14d	—	—	+13	19.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Dominated from the front at Yarmouth a fortnight ago and is suited by this C&D
8 (11)	Red Hat Eagle Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	135	h	33-79	70	75	-	20d	—	—	0	6.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Soundly beaten on handicap debut (6f, turf) but might fare better now back over 7f on AW
11 (2)	Chorus Line Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Ed Dunlop	133	p	-16444	68	75	-	17d	—	—	+4	7.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Sound effort when fourth at Leicester this month; has possibilities if cheekpieces help
6 (10)	Hul Ah Bah Loo Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	137	—	414235	67	78	71	118d	—	—	+8	11.9	5.25/1	22 5%
In good form over 1m here in early part of year; back from four-month break today
13 (1)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Attwater	J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Attwater	127	—	854865	57	78	69	15d	—	—	-1	2.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Did not enjoy run of the race when fifth over C&D this month; lurks on dangerous mark
12 (6)	Dicko The Legend Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	377-67	65	70	-	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	4.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Safely held in turf handicaps on first two stable starts; returns to AW with bit to prove
10 (13)	Perfect Focus Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Lee Carter	J:Josephine Gordon T:Lee Carter	134	—	82862-	64	80	-	482d	—	—	+9	10.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Ran well in defeat when last in action, but that was in May 2022

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Blue Flame	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
How Impressive	3	3	5/2	3/1	11/4
Silver Screen	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Saturnalia	11/2	5	5	5	5
Thapa Vc	8	8	15/2	8	8
Purple Poppy	8	9	9	9	9
Maharajas Express	8	9	9	10	10
Ideal Guest	12	12	11	12	12
Red Hat Eagle	12	12	11	12	12
Chorus Line	20	20	20	20	20
Hul Ah Bah Loo	22	22	22	22	22
Ajrad	28	25	20	25	25
Dicko The Legend	33	33	28	33	33
Perfect Focus	100	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blue Flame

23.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Ideal Guest

19.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.7

3rd

How Impressive

15.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Saturnalia

14.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Hul Ah Bah Loo

11.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.1

Maharajas Express

11.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

Perfect Focus

10.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.5

100

Silver Screen

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 4

9/2

Thapa Vc

OR: 5.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Chorus Line

7.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

Red Hat Eagle

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Dicko The Legend

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ajrad

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Purple Poppy

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
How Impressive	72	83	6
Saturnalia	72	82	72
Thapa Vc	72	79	45
Maharajas Express	72	70	58
Silver Screen	70	78	34
Red Hat Eagle	70	75	—
Chorus Line	68	75	—
Ideal Guest	67	77	—
Hul Ah Bah Loo	67	78	71
Blue Flame	65	—	—
Dicko The Legend	65	70	—
Perfect Focus	64	80	—
Ajrad	57	78	69
Purple Poppy	51	76	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blue Flame	11d ago	Quick return
Ideal Guest	14d ago	Fit
Purple Poppy	15d ago	Fit
Ajrad	15d ago	Fit
Silver Screen	16d ago	Fit
Chorus Line	17d ago	Fit
How Impressive	18d ago	Fit
Saturnalia	18d ago	Fit
Thapa Vc	18d ago	Fit
Red Hat Eagle	20d ago	Fit
Maharajas Express	25d ago	Fit
Dicko The Legend	28d ago	Fit
Hul Ah Bah Loo	118d ago	Long break
Perfect Focus	482d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.