William Hill Epic Boost Racing League Race 22 Handicap (Racing League)

Newcastle (AW)

5:45

Date 2023-08-31

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £16,751

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11 (5)	Muzaffar b J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	—	130P48	72	98	81	21d	—	—	-6	9.9	5/1 17%
Fall in the weights (after turf runs) makes him look well handicapped on this return to AW
8 (13)	Imaginary World ch J:David Allan T:James Tate	J:David Allan T:James Tate	128	—	5-1326	84	89	72	54d	—	—	-1	12.1	11/2 15%
Forgiven his failure in a hot race last time but needs to resume improvement
1 (11)	Lizzie Jean b J:Cam Hardie T:Ivan Furtado	J:Cam Hardie T:Ivan Furtado	140	—	98-722	87	93	21	33d	—	—	+2	12.1	13/2 13%
Dual 1m3f AW winner elsewhere last summer; 1m4f second on latest two outings
10 (8)	Chase The Dollar b J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:David Loughnane	126	—	92-703	73	90	-	18d	—	—	-1	8.4	15/2 12%
413 days off before this term; signs of return to form behind Isle Of Sark on latest start
6 (3)	Wynter Wildes b J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	133	p	751715	80	96	62	14d	—	—	+8	21.1	7/1 13%
2-4 at Newcastle, the wins in this race last year and by a nose over C&D in July
9 (12)	Glenister b J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	126	—	0-1112	73	96	64	75d	—	—	-1	8.4	8/1 11%
Off since June; peak turf form (penultimate start) makes this look an attractive mark
13 (1)	Tafsir b J:Hayley Turner T:Jim Goldie	J:Hayley Turner T:Jim Goldie	114	p	231121	61	87	75	20d	—	—	+19	27.2	9 11%
1m4f, 1m5f and 1m6f wins on last three turf starts; 0-5 here but 2nd on penultimate outing
5 (4)	Isle Of Sark b J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	133	tb	-53572	80	92	44	18d	—	—	+9	15.1	12 8%
Front-running second of six at Leicester when first equipped with blinkers on latest start
4 (9)	True Courage br J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	133	v	189-40	80	96	-	30d	—	—	+3	9.2	12 8%
Tailed off on latest start; two wins last September included a C&D Racing League race
7 (6)	Natchez Trace b J:James Sullivan T:Declan Carroll	J:James Sullivan T:Declan Carroll	129	—	501387	76	95	42	41d	—	—	+7	12.6	16/1 6%
His only AW run this year was a win (Southwell 1m4f) and he's had excuses recently
3 (2)	Luckys Dream ch J:Rossa Ryan T:B F Brookhouse	J:Rossa Ryan T:B F Brookhouse	136	t	4/3246	83	91	57	33d	—	—	+5	9.5	22/1 4%
7-17 on AW; absent for 627 days before this season; needs to raise his game somewhat
12 (10)	Red Royalist b J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	122	tp	-33157	69	93	60	15d	—	—	+10	11.7	66/1 1%
Chester win in July came off just 1lb lower but backward steps on last two outings
2 (7)	Nuits St Georges ch J:Paul Mulrennan T:David Menuisier	J:Paul Mulrennan T:David Menuisier	139	—	8600-7	86	87	58	56d	—	—	+8	9.5	66 2%
Useful in 2021 but has plenty to prove judged on what he's done since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Muzaffar	5	5	5	5	5/1
Imaginary World	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Lizzie Jean	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Chase The Dollar	7	7	7	7	15/2
Wynter Wildes	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Glenister	8	15/2	7	8	8/1
Tafsir	9	9	9	9	8/1
Isle Of Sark	12	12	12	12	11/1
True Courage	12	11	11	11	11
Natchez Trace	16	14	12	14	16/1
Luckys Dream	18/1	20	20	20	22/1
Red Royalist	66/1	50	50	50	40
Nuits St Georges	40	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tafsir

27.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 22.1 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Wynter Wildes

21.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Isle Of Sark

15.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.7

Natchez Trace

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Imaginary World

12.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Lizzie Jean

12.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Red Royalist

11.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Muzaffar

9.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Luckys Dream

9.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Nuits St Georges

9.5

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

True Courage

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Chase The Dollar

8.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Glenister

8.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lizzie Jean Top Rated	87	93	21
Nuits St Georges	86	87	58
Imaginary World	84	89	72
Luckys Dream	83	91	57
Wynter Wildes	80	96	62
Isle Of Sark	80	92	44
True Courage	80	96	—
Natchez Trace	76	95	42
Chase The Dollar	73	90	—
Glenister	73	96	64
Muzaffar	72	98	81
Red Royalist	69	93	60
Tafsir	61	87	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wynter Wildes	14d ago	Fit
Red Royalist	15d ago	Fit
Chase The Dollar	18d ago	Fit
Isle Of Sark	18d ago	Fit
Tafsir	20d ago	Fit
Muzaffar	21d ago	Fit
True Courage	30d ago	Fit
Lizzie Jean	33d ago	Fit
Luckys Dream	33d ago	Fit
Natchez Trace	41d ago	Fit
Imaginary World	54d ago	Fresh
Nuits St Georges	56d ago	Fresh
Glenister	75d ago	Fresh