William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Racing League Race 24 Handicap (Racing League)

Newcastle (AW)

6:45

Date 2023-08-31

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £16,751

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (13)	Dionysian ch J:Jack Mitchell T:Stuart Williams	J:Jack Mitchell T:Stuart Williams	134	—	1-0064	81	90	87	15d	—	—	0	20.9	11/4 27%
Shaped nicely back on AW last time and a 1lb drop seems kind; still has potential
6 (4)	Half Nutz ch J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Adrian Mcguinness	132	—	765422	74	97	-	7d	—	—	+4	18.9	9/2 18%
Banging at the door in Ireland and he's of some interest at this level
7 (12)	Yaaser b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	131	—	303142	73	96	-	12d	—	—	+8	20	13/2 13%
Comes here in form and he shaped well in one run here last year; leading contender
1 (11)	Mobashr b J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Appleby	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Appleby	138	h	712320	80	90	-	14d	—	—	+9	18.7	17/2 11%
Not at his best in 1m Racing League h'cap two weeks ago; return to AW fine; not ruled out
4 (6)	Billy Mill b J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	134	—	337092	76	94	80	15d	—	—	+5	14.8	17/2 11%
C&D winner in Racing League last year off 4lb higher; good 2nd latest; leading contender
8 (9)	Craven b J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	v	481202	78	89	-	13d	—	—	+13	19.2	14 7%
Improving 3yo who bumped into one at Thirsk last time; solid claims switched to AW
12 (10)	Akmaam br J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:J F Levins	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:J F Levins	127	—	147654	69	95	82	11d	—	—	+1	6.4	12 8%
1m AW win in March; good 4th at Curragh latest; usually apprentice ridden but not today
13 (7)	Ray Vonn b J:Jason Watson T:B F Brookhouse	J:Jason Watson T:B F Brookhouse	123	t	-32233	70	85	58	13d	—	—	+9	16.8	11 9%
Ran well dropped to 6f last time (after a wind op); 7f efforts need bettering though
3 (8)	Chola Empire b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:David Simcock	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:David Simcock	134	—	244383	76	91	55	7d	—	—	+6	12.9	12 8%
Conditions should suit and he ran well at Chelmsford last week; each-way contender
2 (2)	Mahanakhon b J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	p	413837	77	89	-	29d	—	—	+8	13.1	20 5%
7f novice winner in April; fair runs in 1m h'caps since; encouragement for AW on breeding
10 (1)	Le Reveur b J:Rossa Ryan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Rossa Ryan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	129	b	472401	71	89	44	13d	—	—	+14	18	22 5%
Easy win at Newmarket (1m) 13 days ago but 8lb higher mark might find him out
9 (3)	Vindobala b J:James Sullivan T:Sam England	J:James Sullivan T:Sam England	129	t	64503R	71	91	77	37d	—	—	+4	6.6	33 3%
Conditions ideal but she refused to race in 2 of last 7 appearances; reservations
11 (5)	Unsung Hero b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	128	—	1107-0	70	93	72	65d	—	—	+4	5.5	50 2%
Two front-running wins at Kempton last September; struggled since; gelded since latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dionysian	3	11/4	11/4	3	3
Half Nutz	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Yaaser	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mobashr	17/2	17/2	8	8	17/2
Billy Mill	8	17/2	8	8	8
Craven	14	12	12	12	12
Akmaam	12	12	12	12	12
Ray Vonn	11	11	11	11	11
Chola Empire	12	12	12	12	12
Mahanakhon	20	18	16	16	18
Le Reveur	22	22	20	20	22
Vindobala	33	33	33	33	33
Unsung Hero	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dionysian

20.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Yaaser

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Craven

19.2

OR: 7 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.7

Half Nutz

18.9

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mobashr

18.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Le Reveur

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.2

Ray Vonn

16.8

OR: 5 Form: 9.7 Odds: 2.1

Billy Mill

14.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Mahanakhon

13.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Chola Empire

12.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

Vindobala

6.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Akmaam

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Unsung Hero

5.5

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dionysian Top Rated	81	90	87
Mobashr	80	90	—
Craven	78	89	—
Mahanakhon	77	89	—
Billy Mill	76	94	80
Chola Empire	76	91	55
Half Nutz	74	97	—
Yaaser	73	96	—
Le Reveur	71	89	44
Vindobala	71	91	77
Ray Vonn	70	85	58
Unsung Hero	70	93	72
Akmaam	69	95	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Half Nutz	7d ago	Quick return
Chola Empire	7d ago	Quick return
Akmaam	11d ago	Quick return
Yaaser	12d ago	Quick return
Craven	13d ago	Quick return
Ray Vonn	13d ago	Quick return
Le Reveur	13d ago	Quick return
Mobashr	14d ago	Fit
Dionysian	15d ago	Fit
Billy Mill	15d ago	Fit
Mahanakhon	29d ago	Fit
Vindobala	37d ago	Fit
Unsung Hero	65d ago	Fresh