Prostate Cymru Paned At 3A's Leisure Carmarthen Handicap

Ffos Las

18:50

Date 2023-09-01

Distance 1m3f209y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 2m 48.43s (slow by 18.43s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Nivelle's Magic (GB) Aidan Keeley · Simon Earle	7/2J	Won
2nd	Owens Lad (GB) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	7/2J	2.25
3rd	Gilbert (GB) Connor Planas · Adam West	5/1	8
4th	Lailah (GB) Dylan Hogan · James Fanshawe	9/2	3.25
5th	Goodison Girl (GB) Brandon Wilkie · Ed de Giles	50/1	1.5
6th	Leazy Lindsay (GB) Richard Kingscote · Milton Harris	8/1	4.75
7th	Gosmore (GB) Trevor Whelan · Henry Candy	28/1	2.5
8th	Ballet Blanc (GB) Millie Wonnacott · Richard Price	50/1	.5
9th	Ceilidh King (GB) David Probert · Hughie Morrison	14/1	7
10th	Flammable (GB) Oisin Murphy · Archie Watson	6/1	8.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Nivelles Magic Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Simon Earle	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Simon Earle	132	—	373431	49	63	56	16d	—	—	-2	19.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Breakthrough at Salisbury (1m2f, good) 16 days ago, coming from rear; dam won up to 1m4f
1 (7)	Owens Lad Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	140	tb	190421	57	61	55	9d	—	—	+3	20.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Back in top form; his only run on softer than good was low-level form early in career
3 (1)	Lailah Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:James Fanshawe	J:Dylan Hogan T:James Fanshawe	135	—	764361	52	64	59	23d	—	—	-1	17.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark in classified at Yarmouth (11.4f, good) last time; player if reproducing that
NR (2)	Shes A Mirage Bay J:TBC T:David Evans	J: T:David Evans	127	—	674141	52	61	40	18d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) 18 days ago; new trip (unraced beyond 1m2f) is a concern
10 (3)	Flammable Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Archie Watson	J:Oisin Murphy T:Archie Watson	124	p	680343	49	64	55	23d	—	—	-3	7.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Minor honours in her two 1m2f handicaps and a 11.4f Yarmouth classified
4 (12)	Gilbert Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Adam West	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Adam West	133	tb	128562	50	61	55	14d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Best efforts this summer came in first-time cheekpieces and first blinkers; stays 11.4f
6 (5)	Leazy Lindsay Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Milton Harris	J:Richard Kingscote T:Milton Harris	129	—	6653	54	61	44	30d	—	—	-3	6.7	2.25/1	10 10%
125-1 when third of nine on handicap debut at Leicester (1m4f, soft) one month ago
NR (4)	Miss Sligo Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	135	tb	212728	52	63	51	11d	—	—	+1	10	2.25/1	10 10%
Won at Chepstow (1m4f, good to soft) in July; not beaten far at Brighton on latest start
12 (9)	Gosmore Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	121	p	0-70	46	52	-	14d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Huge prices, well beaten all three starts; up in trip for handicap debut in first headgear
11 (8)	Ceilidh King Chestnut J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	121	t	-80067	46	61	31	18d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Modest maiden; beyond 1m first time and there's is plenty of encouragement in his pedigree
8 (10)	Goodison Girl Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Ed De Giles	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Ed De Giles	129	—	6-5604	46	57	20	25d	—	—	-3	1	9.75/1	40 3%
13-race maiden and her fourth at Windsor last time came in a four-runner race
7 (11)	Ballet Blanc Chestnut J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Richard Price	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Richard Price	129	—	402080	46	63	43	22d	—	—	0	2.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Beaten a neck at Chepstow (7f) in June but heavy defeats in her three runs since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Nivelles Magic	10/3	3	11/4	10/3	10/3
Owens Lad	4	10/3	7/2	4	4
Lailah	9/2	10/3	10/3	4	4
Shes A Mirage	15/2	15/2	15/2	7	15/2
Flammable	7	13/2	13/2	7	13/2
Gilbert	6	7	6	6	13/2
Leazy Lindsay	7	10	9/1	8	17/2
Miss Sligo	9	9	9	10	10
Gosmore	12	12	11	12	12
Ceilidh King	16	20	14	18	18
Goodison Girl	33	40	28	33	33
Ballet Blanc	40	40	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Owens Lad

20.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Nivelles Magic

19.2

OR: 0 Form: 13 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Shes A Mirage

18.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 15 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Lailah

17.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Miss Sligo

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

Gilbert

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Flammable

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Leazy Lindsay

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

Ballet Blanc

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

Gosmore

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ceilidh King

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Goodison Girl

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Owens Lad	57	61	55
Leazy Lindsay	54	61	44
Lailah	52	64	59
Shes A Mirage	52	61	40
Miss Sligo	52	63	51
Gilbert	50	61	55
Nivelles Magic	49	63	56
Flammable	49	64	55
Gosmore	46	52	—
Ceilidh King	46	61	31
Goodison Girl	46	57	20
Ballet Blanc	46	63	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Owens Lad	9d ago	Quick return
Miss Sligo	11d ago	Quick return
Gilbert	14d ago	Fit
Gosmore	14d ago	Fit
Nivelles Magic	16d ago	Fit
Shes A Mirage	18d ago	Fit
Ceilidh King	18d ago	Fit
Ballet Blanc	22d ago	Fit
Lailah	23d ago	Fit
Flammable	23d ago	Fit
Goodison Girl	25d ago	Fit
Leazy Lindsay	30d ago	Fit