Joe Scanlon Birthday Celebration Fillies' Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:15

Joe Scanlon Birthday Celebration Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Song Of Success Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:James Fanshawe	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:James Fanshawe	139	—	-45353	71	76	-	6d	—	—	-4	15.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Close 3rd at Yarmouth on Sunday; promise in one AW run; B Loughnane booked; contender
3 (5)	Musical Tribute Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	139	b	5-3333	71	78	54	24d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Consistent since handicapping and the new blinkers could help her pull out more; contender
9 (8)	Rhythmic Acclaim Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	129	—	422463	61	77	65	17d	—	—	-3	12.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran well over C&D in April; solid efforts this summer and she holds each-way claims again
7 (1)	Flying Kiss Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	—	32253	67	75	53	19d	—	—	+3	15.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent rather than progressive; well drawn for handicap debut but others look stronger
2 (3)	Fifty Year Storm Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Archie Watson	139	—	31-92	71	74	44	17d	—	—	-2	8.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Latest 2nd came in a 3-runner race; likely more will be needed to take this
8 (2)	Shot Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	134	t	-56712	66	75	40	12d	—	—	+10	18.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Doing well for new yard and a repeat of her recent turf 2nd would give her strong claims
4 (6)	Aira Force Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:William Carver(3) T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	138	t	13-640	70	75	-	15d	—	—	0	6.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Form dipped at Newmarket latest; type to bounce back quickly but others still appeal more
10 (4)	American Rose Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:James Evans	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:James Evans	125	p	342373	57	77	73	38d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Consistent enough in handicaps but she needs to find something extra to win
6 (10)	Anificas Beauty Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Gary Moore	J:Callum Shepherd T:Gary Moore	135	h	-11208	65	76	69	38d	—	—	+8	12.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Course specialist who returns to the track on a fair mark; hood added; tricky draw
5 (9)	Spring Day Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	J:Neil Callan T:John Butler	135	—	1-556	67	75	47	21d	—	—	+9	12.2	6.75/1	28 4%
C&D winner on debut; much better than she showed on her stable debut latest; check betting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Song Of Success	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Musical Tribute	4	9/2	4	9/2	4/1
Rhythmic Acclaim	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Flying Kiss	6	13/2	11/2	6	11/2
Fifty Year Storm	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Shot	12	9/1	10	10	9
Aira Force	14	12	12	12	12
American Rose	16	14/1	14	16	16
Anificas Beauty	20	16	16/1	16	16
Spring Day	28	22/1	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shot

18.2

OR: 4 Form: 12 Odds: 2.2

2nd

Song Of Success

15.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Flying Kiss

15.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Rhythmic Acclaim

12.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Anificas Beauty

12.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.4

Spring Day

12.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1

Musical Tribute

10.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

American Rose

9.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6

Fifty Year Storm

8.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Aira Force

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Song Of Success	71	76	—
Musical Tribute	71	78	54
Fifty Year Storm	71	74	44
Aira Force	70	75	—
Flying Kiss	67	75	53
Spring Day	67	75	47
Shot	66	75	40
Anificas Beauty	65	76	69
Rhythmic Acclaim	61	77	65
American Rose	57	77	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Song Of Success	6d ago	Quick return
Shot	12d ago	Quick return
Aira Force	15d ago	Fit
Rhythmic Acclaim	17d ago	Fit
Fifty Year Storm	17d ago	Fit
Flying Kiss	19d ago	Fit
Spring Day	21d ago	Fit
Musical Tribute	24d ago	Fit
American Rose	38d ago	Fit
Anificas Beauty	38d ago	Fit