Alfred Burns Memorial Nursery Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:15

Alfred Burns Memorial Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,004

Winning Time 1m 25.89s (slow by 3.19s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rising Force (IRE) Dylan Hogan · Robert Eddery	33/1	Won
2nd	Lucy Lockett (GB) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	4/1	.5
3rd	Dainty Lady (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Tom Dascombe	10/1	.75
4th	Tomorrow Day (GB) Owen Lewis · Seamus Durack	22/1	.75
5th	Mist Of Lir (IRE) Frederick Larson · Amy Murphy	9/1	0.1
6th	Monks Mead (GB) Oliver Searle · Mark Usher	7/2F	0.05
7th	Capall Donn (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Dominic Ffrench Davis	11/1	2
8th	Belvoir Kitten (GB) Hollie Doyle · Ed Dunlop	11/1	2
9th	Clear Justice (IRE) Neil Callan · Gary Moore	4/1	4.75
10th	Goldmine Girl (IRE) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	15/2	.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Lucy Lockett Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	136	h	4497	56	58	31	14d	—	—	-11	6.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Last of seven on nursery debut at Newmarket; eased in grade here; tends to race too freely
2 (3)	Monks Mead Grey J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Mark Usher	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Mark Usher	134	—	88812	54	61	7	19d	—	—	+1	18	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Shock 7f winner on nursery debut and a close second over 6f since; likely contender
4 (9)	Goldmine Girl Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	134	—	662	54	60	-	13d	—	—	-6	11	1.38/1	11/2 15%
No match for winner when second in recent 5f novice; up in trip for nursery/AW debut
5 (8)	Belvoir Kitten Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	131	—	0706	51	46	34	19d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Unable to land a telling blow when midfield on nursery debut; upped from 6f today
7 (10)	Mist Of Lir Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	126	p	857474	46	56	46	13d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-9 but ran quite well from the front when fourth at Southwell (6f) a fortnight ago
9 (7)	Clear Justice Bay J:Neil Callan T:Gary Moore	J:Neil Callan T:Gary Moore	125	b	088	45	50	-	17d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Showed no significant promise in his qualifying runs but still worth glance in the betting
8 (1)	Capall Donn Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	125	p	0608	45	53	-	33d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	9 11%
Well-beaten 66-1 shot (albeit on soft ground) on nursery debut in July; cheekpieces added
3 (2)	Tomorrow Day Bay J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Seamus Durack	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Seamus Durack	134	—	339	54	60	-	7d	—	—	0	6.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Only ninth of 13 in recent Windsor novice; improvement needed on nursery/AW debut
10 (6)	Dainty Lady Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tom Dascombe	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Tom Dascombe	125	—	880055	45	57	-	19d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Respectable fifth on nursery debut in July (7f) but below that form over 6f last month
6 (5)	Rising Force Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	130	h	507079	50	59	33	10d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Well down the field in two turf nurseries for new stable last month; hood added today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lucy Lockett	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Monks Mead	7/2	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Goldmine Girl	6	11/2	5	11/2	6
Belvoir Kitten	8	7	7	15/2	7
Mist Of Lir	9	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Clear Justice	9	8	17/2	9	17/2
Capall Donn	9	8	8	9	15/2
Tomorrow Day	12	12	12	12	12
Dainty Lady	11	11	10	11	12
Rising Force	33	25	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Monks Mead

OR: 1 Form: 12 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Goldmine Girl

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 5

11/2

3rd

Lucy Lockett

6.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Tomorrow Day

6.5

OR: 1 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

Belvoir Kitten

3.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Capall Donn

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Mist Of Lir

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Clear Justice

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Dainty Lady

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Rising Force

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lucy Lockett	56	58	31
Monks Mead	54	61	7
Goldmine Girl	54	60	—
Tomorrow Day	54	60	—
Belvoir Kitten	51	46	34
Rising Force	50	59	33
Mist Of Lir	46	56	46
Clear Justice	45	50	—
Capall Donn	45	53	—
Dainty Lady	45	57	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tomorrow Day	7d ago	Quick return
Rising Force	10d ago	Quick return
Goldmine Girl	13d ago	Quick return
Mist Of Lir	13d ago	Quick return
Lucy Lockett	14d ago	Fit
Clear Justice	17d ago	Fit
Monks Mead	19d ago	Fit
Belvoir Kitten	19d ago	Fit
Dainty Lady	19d ago	Fit
Capall Donn	33d ago	Fit