St Leger Form Study On attheraces.com Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:25

St Leger Form Study On attheraces.com Handicap

Date 2023-09-06

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 28.29s (slow by 3.39s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Homer Stokes (GB) Mia Nicholls · David & Nicola Barron	7/1	Won
2nd	Asmund (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	13/2	1.25
3rd	Wizarding (GB) George Wood · Heather Main	11/2F	0.2
4th	Kodebreaker (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	11/1	0.3
5th	Muddy Lynn (GB) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	16/1	0.3
6th	Hezahunk (IRE) Ben Curtis · Michael Appleby	7/1	1
7th	Gypsy Whisper (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	28/1	0.2
8th	Min Till (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	10/1	0.2
9th	Meng Tian (GB) Daniel Muscutt · S Woods	11/1	.75
10th	Variety Island (GB) Phil Dennis · Simon Whitaker	13/2	.75
11th	My Sand Boy (GB) Cam Hardie · Tony Carroll	100/1	0.3
12th	Back From Dubai (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Kevin Frost	25/1	2
13th	Thomas Equinas (GB) Harry Davies · Dean Ivory	6/1	3

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Homer Stokes Bay J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:David & Nicola Barron	135	—	3-6771	60	75	52	9d	—	—	-5	8.2	1.00/1	5 20%
Unpenalised for last week's C&D success; has to enter calculations
8 (12)	Thomas Equinas Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Dean Ivory	J:Harry Davies T:Dean Ivory	133	p	645011	58	71	41	22d	—	—	+10	22.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Chasing a hat-trick after two Chelmsford wins last month; has C&D form; solid contender
13 (1)	Variety Island Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	126	p	852287	51	76	62	16d	—	—	-4	7.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two 2nd places on Tapeta in June; less good the last twice; fair mark if bouncing back
11 (7)	Asmund Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	130	b	336532	55	76	-	16d	—	—	+2	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Knocking at the door this year, second of 15 last time; has won on Tapeta; contender
6 (5)	Wizarding Bay J:George Wood T:Heather Main	J:George Wood T:Heather Main	135	—	-35674	60	75	65	18d	—	—	-3	5.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Big chance on this winter's AW best; signs of a revival latest; other pace to deal with
4 (14)	Hezahunk Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Michael Appleby	J:Ben Curtis T:Michael Appleby	135	—	8-7452	60	72	59	22d	—	—	-5	5.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Went close at Newcastle last month (7f); chance on that form and still has low mileage
1 (6)	Min Till Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	137	h	-06405	62	77	33	16d	—	—	-4	5.7	1.75/1	8 13%
Two 7f wins last season; down in weights and the return to AW can help; interesting
9 (9)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	—	364255	58	71	39	20d	—	—	0	6.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Returns to AW on a good mark and this should be run to suit; one to take seriously
2 (3)	Meng Tian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:S Woods	J:Daniel Muscutt T:S Woods	136	t	745446	61	78	68	21d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Tumbling down the weights but drop to Class 6 hasn't really helped of late
NR (2)	Crystal Dawn Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Ronald Thompson	J:Kyle Strydom T:Ronald Thompson	131	t	007924	56	74	59	57d	—	—	-5	9.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Two 7f wins for David Brown last autumn; running back into form this summer; not ruled out
7 (4)	Muddy Lynn Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	133	p	371366	58	73	53	22d	—	—	+3	7.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Looked good at Newcastle in June (6f) but not kicked on; cheekpieces could give her a lift
12 (10)	Gypsy Whisper Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	128	b	-07553	53	70	27	27d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Infrequent winner but she didn't run badly tried in blinkers at Nottingham latest
3 (13)	Back From Dubai Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	136	—	284196	61	69	62	10d	—	—	+6	8.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Five course wins; scored on turf in June; quiet since but the return here could help
14 (11)	My Sand Boy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tony Carroll	J:Cam Hardie T:Tony Carroll	121	—	8/0-95	46	62	34	29d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Appeared to show a bit more last time but it still represents modest form

Horse	bet365	Coral
Homer Stokes	5	5
Thomas Equinas	5	6/1
Variety Island	13/2	13/2
Asmund	7	13/2
Wizarding	8	8
Hezahunk	13/2	7/1
Min Till	8	8
Kodebreaker	12	12
Meng Tian	14	12/1
Crystal Dawn	12	11
Muddy Lynn	16	16
Gypsy Whisper	33	25
Back From Dubai	33	28
My Sand Boy	100	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thomas Equinas

22.6

OR: 2 Form: 17 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Asmund

11.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.7 Odds: 2.9

13/2

3rd

Crystal Dawn

9.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.1

Back From Dubai

8.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

Homer Stokes

8.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

Muddy Lynn

7.9

OR: 2 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

Variety Island

7.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 4 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Kodebreaker

6.2

OR: 2 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

Min Till

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Wizarding

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

Hezahunk

5.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Gypsy Whisper

4.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Meng Tian

4.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

My Sand Boy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Min Till	62	77	33
Meng Tian	61	78	68
Back From Dubai	61	69	62
Homer Stokes	60	75	52
Wizarding	60	75	65
Hezahunk	60	72	59
Thomas Equinas	58	71	41
Kodebreaker	58	71	39
Muddy Lynn	58	73	53
Crystal Dawn	56	74	59
Asmund	55	76	—
Gypsy Whisper	53	70	27
Variety Island	51	76	62
My Sand Boy	46	62	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Homer Stokes	9d ago	Quick return
Back From Dubai	10d ago	Quick return
Variety Island	16d ago	Fit
Asmund	16d ago	Fit
Min Till	16d ago	Fit
Wizarding	18d ago	Fit
Kodebreaker	20d ago	Fit
Meng Tian	21d ago	Fit
Thomas Equinas	22d ago	Fit
Hezahunk	22d ago	Fit
Muddy Lynn	22d ago	Fit
Gypsy Whisper	27d ago	Fit
My Sand Boy	29d ago	Fit
Crystal Dawn	57d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Asmund	Front Runner
Wizarding	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.