Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

15:50

Date 2023-09-06

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,104

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Create Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	133	—	1	-	80	66	208d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-15	21.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Beat males in a 1m maiden here on her debut in February; obvious claims despite a penalty
9 (4)	Sheehan Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	126	t	62	-	80	-	17d	—	—	-10	11.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Second of five at Pontefract (1m) last month; open to improvement and 7f should be fine
3 (10)	Hamlet Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
26,000gns 2yo; closely related to a fair 7f winner out a useful mare; check betting
10 (6)	Teddys Dawn Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	124	—	8	-	45	-	25d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Slowly away and green on last month's Redcar debut (7f); bred to do much better in time
8 (7)	Perovskia Chestnut J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	126	—	43	-	65	-	9d	—	—	-1	4.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Modest form in two turf novice events; switch to AW needs to spark plenty more
5 (2)	Solar Portrait Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	—	67	-	66	47	7d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Last week's midfield finish at Kempton was better and this is weak; each-way claims
2 (3)	Brazen Rascal Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Simon Whitaker	J:Sean Kirrane T:Simon Whitaker	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Dam a useful 7f/1m winner; gelded and had a wind op prior to debut; likely best watched
7 (1)	Coco Starlight Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	126	—	86	-	48	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Poor form in two turf events this summer; low-grade handicaps more suitable after this
6 (5)	Roman Princess Bay J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:John Stimpson	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:John Stimpson	128	—	8	-	60	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
300-1 for recent, belated debut (7f, good) but hinted at ability; one for the longer term
4 (9)	Kodi Hawk Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Some appeal on pedigree but likely a longer-term prospect

Horse	bet365	Coral
Create	5/4	5/4
Sheehan	3	11/4
Hamlet	7/2	7/2
Teddys Dawn	9	10
Perovskia	14	14
Solar Portrait	25	25
Brazen Rascal	40	33
Coco Starlight	66	66
Roman Princess	100	80
Kodi Hawk	150	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Create

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Sheehan

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Hamlet

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Perovskia

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.5

Teddys Dawn

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Solar Portrait

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Brazen Rascal

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Coco Starlight

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Roman Princess

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Kodi Hawk

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Create	—	80	66
Sheehan	—	80	—
Hamlet	—	—	—
Teddys Dawn	—	45	—
Perovskia	—	65	—
Solar Portrait	—	66	47
Brazen Rascal	—	—	—
Coco Starlight	—	48	—
Roman Princess	—	60	—
Kodi Hawk	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Solar Portrait	7d ago	Quick return
Perovskia	9d ago	Quick return
Sheehan	17d ago	Fit
Roman Princess	18d ago	Fit
Teddys Dawn	25d ago	Fit
Coco Starlight	25d ago	Fit
Create	208d ago	Long break
Hamlet	—	—
Brazen Rascal	—	—
Kodi Hawk	—	—