St Leger Festival Tips On attheraces.com Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

2:05

St Leger Festival Tips On attheraces.com Handicap

Date 2023-09-06

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (4)	Southwold b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	134	b	-14329	71	83	73	19d	—	—	-1	17.7	7/2 22%
Still lightly raced but was disappointing at Newmarket last time and needs to bounce back
7 (12)	Soames Forsyte b J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	—	444973	70	91	70	10d	—	—	-3	12.4	9/2 18%
0-12 but he went close at Beverley last time and has claims if he can repeat that form
9 (7)	Motawaafeq b J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	132	hp	344711	69	83	71	28d	—	—	+15	24.4	15/2 12%
Front-runner who has won his last two starts and is respected in his hat-trick bid
11 (3)	Bushfire ch J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	131	—	604413	68	86	70	38d	—	—	+8	17.2	8 13%
In good form on turf in his last two starts and has run well over C&D; chance
4 (11)	Hes A Gentleman gr J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	134	v	908422	71	89	55	25d	—	—	+8	16	17/2 11%
Just one win from 23 starts but he went close at Ayr last time; dangerous back up in trip
10 (8)	Hotspur Harry b J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	131	—	369465	68	88	48	22d	—	—	-1	6.7	10/1 9%
Well held in last five runs and his overall record now stands at 2-36; others preferred
14 (6)	Touchwood b J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	130	p	745973	67	90	-	8d	—	—	+2	9.2	11 9%
Dry in almost two years but he's well handicapped now and was placed at Ripon last week
12 (10)	Dancinginthewoods b J:Connor Beasley T:Amy Murphy	J:Connor Beasley T:Amy Murphy	131	b	348807	68	90	55	18d	—	—	0	6.2	12/1 8%
On dangerous mark but he's been quiet in his last four runs and has something to prove
13 (13)	Light Up Our Stars b J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	130	h	-76345	67	91	55	9d	—	—	+2	7.4	14 7%
His last win was 15 months ago and he has a mixed record this year; down the list
3 (9)	Rise Hall b J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	135	v	5/00P9	72	89	24	39d	—	—	+2	6.7	20 5%
Has struggled since returning form a long absence in May and has a lot to prove
1 (14)	Calins Lad ch J:Ben Curtis T:Tony Carroll	J:Ben Curtis T:Tony Carroll	135	—	351141	72	84	74	114d	—	—	+20	24.7	20/1 5%
8yo who has won three of his last four and is as good as ever; respected back from a break
2 (1)	Clipsham Gold ch J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	-14152	72	80	70	69d	—	—	+14	18.7	20/1 5%
2-3 on AW this season and was close second at Leicester latest; respected on stable debut
NR (2)	Ciotog ch J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Loughnane	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	357221	70	84	58	14d	—	—	+13	24.1	13/2 13%
Comfortable win at Bath (1m) 14 days ago and he's a big player again back on Tapeta
8 (5)	Mykonos St John b J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	132	p	060-98	69	78	32	190d	—	—	+3	5.3	33 3%
On reduced mark but losing run is up to 17 and has questions to answer on his return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Southwold	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Soames Forsyte	5	9/2	5	5	5
Motawaafeq	7	15/2	15/2	7	15/2
Bushfire	8	8	8	8	8
Hes A Gentleman	9	9	17/2	9	9
Hotspur Harry	10	10/1	9/1	10	10
Touchwood	11	11	11	11	10
Dancinginthewoods	12	12/1	12	12	12
Light Up Our Stars	14	14	12	12	12
Rise Hall	20	20	20	20	20
Calins Lad	20	20/1	20/1	18	18/1
Clipsham Gold	20	20/1	18	18	16
Ciotog	7	7	7	13/2	13/2
Mykonos St John	33	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Calins Lad

24.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 18 Odds: 1.2

20/1

2nd

Motawaafeq

24.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 17 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Ciotog

24.1

OR: 5 Form: 16 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Clipsham Gold

18.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 12 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Southwold

17.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Bushfire

17.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

Hes A Gentleman

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Soames Forsyte

12.4

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Touchwood

9.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Light Up Our Stars

7.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Hotspur Harry

6.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Rise Hall

6.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dancinginthewoods

6.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Mykonos St John

5.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rise Hall Top Rated	72	89	24
Calins Lad	72	84	74
Clipsham Gold	72	80	70
Southwold	71	83	73
Hes A Gentleman	71	89	55
Soames Forsyte	70	91	70
Ciotog	70	84	58
Motawaafeq	69	83	71
Mykonos St John	69	78	32
Bushfire	68	86	70
Hotspur Harry	68	88	48
Dancinginthewoods	68	90	55
Touchwood	67	90	—
Light Up Our Stars	67	91	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Touchwood	8d ago	Quick return
Light Up Our Stars	9d ago	Quick return
Soames Forsyte	10d ago	Quick return
Ciotog	14d ago	Fit
Dancinginthewoods	18d ago	Fit
Southwold	19d ago	Fit
Hotspur Harry	22d ago	Fit
Hes A Gentleman	25d ago	Fit
Motawaafeq	28d ago	Fit
Bushfire	38d ago	Fit
Rise Hall	39d ago	Fit
Clipsham Gold	69d ago	Fresh
Calins Lad	114d ago	Long break
Mykonos St John	190d ago	Long break