Trustatrader Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

17:35

Trustatrader Handicap

Date 2023-09-07

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Cavalier Approach Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	135	—	1275U1	66	79	60	13d	—	—	-4	22	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won on recent stable debut at Hamilton and could have more to offer for the yard
NR (1)	Astapor Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John David Riches	J:NON-RUNNER T:John David Riches	134	—	213196	64	78	-	17d	—	—	-1	16.3	—	—
Four wins this year but his form has taken a major dip the last twice
12 (10)	Canaria Prince Black J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	119	p	385406	49	77	60	2d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On a reduced mark but hasn't shone lately; sixth of 14 at Ripon on Tuesday
7 (11)	Wee Fat Mac Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	129	t	270144	59	78	69	13d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won at Ayr last month and fair efforts the next twice; might not be far away
NR (12)	Basholo Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Stella Barclay	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Stella Barclay	124	—	633816	54	78	62	12d	—	—	+2	12.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In good form at Redcar the last twice and could be in the mix now back down in trip
4 (9)	Triple Jaye Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	hp	6-7764	62	81	65	23d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Step back in the right direction when fourth at Nottingham and she's not ruled out
6 (2)	One Last Hug Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	130	—	621347	60	78	71	26d	—	—	+2	10.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
His wins have come at Ayr but three of them have been this year; dangerous to dismiss
5 (5)	Sixcor Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	131	p	520351	61	75	61	9d	—	—	+8	17.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won at Musselburgh last Tuesday and he's entitled to respect under a 5lb penalty
3 (4)	Dark Crusade Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	133	—	7334-3	64	74	71	89d	—	—	+2	8.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Reappeared with encouraging run at Catterick and this stiffer track could be a positive
11 (6)	Birdie Bowers Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:David Thompson	J:Paddy Mathers T:David Thompson	119	—	522702	49	79	66	11d	—	—	+3	9.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Inconsistent but runner-up on three of his last five starts and could be thereabouts
8 (3)	Hes An Angel Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	128	tp	406-9	59	59	36	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	3.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Very lightly raced; promising debut over C&D last June but has failed to shine since
10 (7)	Opal Storm Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Chris Fairhurst	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Chris Fairhurst	122	—	5549	53	71	64	11d	—	—	-1	1.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Displayed ability at Ripon last month but subsequently well beaten on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral
Cavalier Approach	9/4	9/4
Astapor	SP	SP
Canaria Prince	9/2	5
Wee Fat Mac	13/2	6
Basholo	7	15/2
Triple Jaye	7	15/2
One Last Hug	9	17/2
Sixcor	9	17/2
Dark Crusade	10	10
Birdie Bowers	12	12
Hes An Angel	25	18
Opal Storm	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cavalier Approach

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Sixcor

17.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Astapor

16.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 4.9

—

Basholo

12.4

OR: 1 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Wee Fat Mac

10.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

One Last Hug

10.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Birdie Bowers

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.7

Dark Crusade

8.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Triple Jaye

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Canaria Prince

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Hes An Angel

3.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Opal Storm

1.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cavalier Approach	66	79	60
Astapor	64	78	—
Dark Crusade	64	74	71
Triple Jaye	62	81	65
Sixcor	61	75	61
One Last Hug	60	78	71
Wee Fat Mac	59	78	69
Hes An Angel	59	59	36
Basholo	54	78	62
Opal Storm	53	71	64
Canaria Prince	49	77	60
Birdie Bowers	49	79	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Canaria Prince	2d ago	Quick return
Sixcor	9d ago	Quick return
Birdie Bowers	11d ago	Quick return
Opal Storm	11d ago	Quick return
Basholo	12d ago	Quick return
Cavalier Approach	13d ago	Quick return
Wee Fat Mac	13d ago	Quick return
Astapor	17d ago	Fit
Hes An Angel	17d ago	Fit
Triple Jaye	23d ago	Fit
One Last Hug	26d ago	Fit
Dark Crusade	89d ago	Fresh