trustatrader.com Nursery Handicap (A Jockey Club Grassroots Nursery Series Qualifier)

Carlisle

17:05

Date 2023-09-07

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Sergeant Mayer Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	55682	59	67	46	8d	—	—	-12	15.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Easily best effort when second in Musselburgh nursery latest; merits serious consideration
4 (8)	Space Ninja Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	131	—	6694	56	65	49	21d	—	—	-15	8.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Best run when 4th in Beverley nursery latest; must enter calculations off 2lb lower now
6 (4)	Zaphea Chestnut J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	303237	55	65	48	8d	—	—	-1	9.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
In good form without winning until seventh at Musselburgh latest; sort to bounce back
9 (3)	Rock Lodge Bay J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	124	b	40004	49	64	45	8d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Big step forward when fourth in Musselburgh nursery eight days ago; he needs to back it up
5 (5)	Lazareti Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	130	—	583	55	64	30	18d	—	—	-1	6.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Good third of five in 5f Pontefract novice latest; needs considering on her nursery debut
1 (6)	Fast Love Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	—	68430	60	66	42	25d	—	—	0	6.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Has failed to progress since sent into handicaps; she needs to get back on track
2 (1)	Dear Mary Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	134	p	04768	59	65	72	17d	—	—	-1	3.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Cheekpieces on when below-par Catterick eighth 17 days ago; more is required here
8 (2)	Naval Flight Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	125	—	703879	50	64	48	21d	—	—	-3	2.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Arrives well below par in nurseries; plenty more is needed despite a falling mark
10 (10)	Bella Camina Bay J:Graham Lee T:Kevin Ryan	J:Graham Lee T:Kevin Ryan	120	b	0999	45	31	-	24d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Has offered little all four runs, in blinkers for her nursery debut at Windsor 24 days ago
7 (9)	Secret Command Grey J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	129	—	000	54	57	23	20d	—	—	-1	1.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Cut little ice in three 6f maidens; switch to handicaps needs to spark major improvement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sergeant Mayer	9/4	2	17/8	2	9/4
Space Ninja	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Zaphea	7	7	7	13/2	13/2
Rock Lodge	7	7	7	13/2	15/2
Lazareti	12	12	11	11	11
Fast Love	14	14	14	14	12
Dear Mary	16	16	16	16	14
Naval Flight	16	20	14	16	16
Bella Camina	40	40	40	33	40
Secret Command	33	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sergeant Mayer

15.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Zaphea

9.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Space Ninja

8.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Lazareti

6.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Fast Love

6.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Dear Mary

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Rock Lodge

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Naval Flight

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

Secret Command

1.8

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Bella Camina

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fast Love	60	66	42
Sergeant Mayer	59	67	46
Dear Mary	59	65	72
Space Ninja	56	65	49
Zaphea	55	65	48
Lazareti	55	64	30
Secret Command	54	57	23
Naval Flight	50	64	48
Rock Lodge	49	64	45
Bella Camina	45	31	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sergeant Mayer	8d ago	Quick return
Zaphea	8d ago	Quick return
Rock Lodge	8d ago	Quick return
Dear Mary	17d ago	Fit
Lazareti	18d ago	Fit
Secret Command	20d ago	Fit
Space Ninja	21d ago	Fit
Naval Flight	21d ago	Fit
Bella Camina	24d ago	Fit
Fast Love	25d ago	Fit