Betfair Racing Only Bettor Podcast Handicap – Haydock

Haydock

13:30

Betfair Racing Only Bettor Podcast Handicap

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 1m3f140y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,688

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Feud Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	-54123	80	86	80	20d	—	—	-5	30.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won over C&D in July and solid efforts the next twice; every chance he'll be thereabouts
3 (1)	Golden Maverick Bay J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	134	—	621117	81	85	64	27d	—	—	+11	29.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Hat-trick of 1m2f wins before below par over 1m4f at Ascot, but he's not written off
6 (6)	Shadow Dance Grey J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	132	—	234	79	88	74	88d	—	—	-4	18.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Open to improvement for his top trainer now up in distance on handicap debut
NR (4)	Dubai Crystal Bay J:NON-RUNNER(7) T:K R Burke	J:NON-RUNNER(7) T:K R Burke	135	—	-61224	82	87	70	70d	—	—	+6	21.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dam was third in the Oaks and this lightly raced 3yo is open to improvement now up in trip
7 (3)	Bulldog Spirit Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	-62124	77	84	73	62d	—	—	+6	21.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In good form over 1m4f before fading over 1m6f; could go well now back down in trip
NR (5)	Molinari Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Martin Todhunter	J:NON-RUNNER T:Martin Todhunter	137	—	-80304	76	87	55	20d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Fair fourth at Doncaster three weeks ago and the step back up in trip could be a plus
4 (7)	Fifth Harmonic b/br J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	133	—	417	80	81	65	30d	—	—	+11	15.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Flopped in AW novice last month but promise on turf previously and she retains potential

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Feud	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Golden Maverick	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Shadow Dance	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Dubai Crystal	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bulldog Spirit	5	5	11/2	5	5
Molinari	14	16	16	16	16
Fifth Harmonic	22	22	25	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Feud

30.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Golden Maverick

29.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 16 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Dubai Crystal

21.4

OR: 8 Form: 9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Bulldog Spirit

21.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Shadow Dance

18.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Fifth Harmonic

15.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Molinari

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dubai Crystal	82	87	70
Golden Maverick	81	85	64
Feud	80	86	80
Fifth Harmonic	80	81	65
Shadow Dance	79	88	74
Bulldog Spirit	77	84	73
Molinari	76	87	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Feud	20d ago	Fit
Molinari	20d ago	Fit
Golden Maverick	27d ago	Fit
Fifth Harmonic	30d ago	Fit
Bulldog Spirit	62d ago	Fresh
Dubai Crystal	70d ago	Fresh
Shadow Dance	88d ago	Fresh