Gowland & Dawson Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

Gowland & Dawson Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £7,128

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Dark Encounter Grey J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	133	—	2674	77	86	-	15d	—	—	-17	20	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Promising 4th at York on nursery debut, staying on well; 1m should suit; more to come
3 (6)	Alpen Power Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	446	74	79	53	26d	—	—	-6	11	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promise in three runs at up to 1m without looking obviously well treated
1 (3)	Gamraan Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	135	—	93320	79	85	-	15d	—	—	+5	16.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Below par at York latest but earlier Goodwood second was encouraging; 1m should suit
4 (4)	Short Circuit Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	130	p	665	74	82	55	30d	—	—	-1	8.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promise at up to 7f and this trip should suit on paper; capable of better
5 (2)	Consoling Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	127	—	4213	71	84	-	13d	—	—	+10	20.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
7f maiden winner last month; similar form over 6f at Newmarket since; 1m a question mark
6 (1)	Star Of Lazise Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	124	—	473714	68	85	69	8d	—	—	+7	14.5	2.50/1	11 9%
7f winner here last month; looks ready for 1m and could be capable of better

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dark Encounter	6/5	5/4	6/5	6/5	6/5
Alpen Power	4	9/2	4	4	9/2
Gamraan	6	6	6	6	11/2
Short Circuit	15/2	7	7	7/1	7
Consoling	7	13/2	7	7	7
Star Of Lazise	11	11	11	11	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Consoling

20.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Dark Encounter

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 11.8

5/4

3rd

Gamraan

16.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Star Of Lazise

14.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.1

Alpen Power

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Short Circuit

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gamraan	79	85	—
Dark Encounter	77	86	—
Alpen Power	74	79	53
Short Circuit	74	82	55
Consoling	71	84	—
Star Of Lazise	68	85	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Of Lazise	8d ago	Quick return
Consoling	13d ago	Quick return
Dark Encounter	15d ago	Fit
Gamraan	15d ago	Fit
Alpen Power	26d ago	Fit
Short Circuit	30d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.