ESH Construction EBF Novice Stakes (Horses Not Run More Than Three times) (GBB)

Newcastle (AW)

17:05

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 11.83s (slow by 1.43s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gunfighter (IRE) Jason Hart · Hugo Palmer	13/2	Won
2nd	Pianoforte (GB) Ben Curtis · Andrew Balding	5/1	0.3
3rd	Appellant (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Charlie Fellowes	6/1	3.75
4th	Trefor (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Charles Hills	9/2	2.25
5th	Bury Lane (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	28/1	.5
6th	The Liegeman (GB) Joshua Bryan · Archie Watson	12/1	3.25
7th	Salamanca Lad (IRE) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	66/1	0.3
8th	Apocalyx (GB) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	9/4F	.5
9th	Please Please Me (GB) Andrew Breslin · Philip Kirby	100/1	.75
10th	Brummell (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	25/1	2
11th	Indication Court (IRE) Sam James · Craig Lidster	18/1	9.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Apocalyx Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	—	2	-	83	-	21d	—	—	-16	14.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Debut effort at Thirsk was full of promise (6f, good); open to lots of improvement; solid
1 (10)	Trefor Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Charles Hills	J:Cieren Fallon T:Charles Hills	136	—	01	-	85	-	13d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well backed when winning at Windsor 13 days ago; more to come but needs it under a penalty
3 (2)	Appellant Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Fellowes	130	—	29	-	84	-	41d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good 2nd at Ayr on debut; backward step at Ascot but the initial effort gives him claims
8 (3)	Pianoforte Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Andrew Balding	J:Ben Curtis T:Andrew Balding	130	—	5	-	71	-	23d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Encouraging debut at Salisbury last month; should know more today and he's a contender
6 (7)	Gunfighter Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	130	—	35	-	83	-	29d	—	—	-5	5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promise in two 6f novices and he doesn't have much to find; may improve for 7f+ though
5 (11)	Bury Lane Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	—	—	-	58	-	42d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Outpaced from halfway on Thirsk debut six weeks ago (6f, soft); needs a good deal more
7 (5)	Indication Court Bay J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	130	—	4	-	78	-	70d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Knew his job when a front-running 4th of 7 at Chester (7f); drop in trip should suit
10 (4)	The Liegeman Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	130	—	6	-	71	-	105d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Green when in midfield at Bath in May (5f, firm); absent since; betting can guide
4 (1)	Brummell Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	130	—	9	-	65	-	21d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Weakened late and beaten around 10l on last month's debut; can do better but needs to
9 (9)	Salamanca Lad Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	—	40	-	76	18	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Promise on debut but he didn't build on it at Wolverhampton last month; nurseries beckon
11 (8)	Please Please Me Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Philip Kirby	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Half-sister to the yard's triple C&D winner Fircombe Hall but likely one for later on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Apocalyx	7/4	13/8	13/8	7/4	7/4
Trefor	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Appellant	11/2	11/2	11/2	6	11/2
Pianoforte	6	6	6	6	6
Gunfighter	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Bury Lane	14	14	14	14	16
Indication Court	16	16	16	16	14
The Liegeman	16	18	16	16	16
Brummell	18	18	18	18	14
Salamanca Lad	66	80	80	80	80
Please Please Me	150	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Apocalyx

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Trefor

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Appellant

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Gunfighter

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Pianoforte

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Bury Lane

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Indication Court

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

The Liegeman

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Brummell

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Salamanca Lad

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Please Please Me

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Apocalyx	—	83	—
Trefor	—	85	—
Appellant	—	84	—
Pianoforte	—	71	—
Gunfighter	—	83	—
Bury Lane	—	58	—
Indication Court	—	78	—
The Liegeman	—	71	—
Brummell	—	65	—
Salamanca Lad	—	76	18
Please Please Me	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Trefor	13d ago	Quick return
Apocalyx	21d ago	Fit
Brummell	21d ago	Fit
Pianoforte	23d ago	Fit
Salamanca Lad	25d ago	Fit
Gunfighter	29d ago	Fit
Appellant	41d ago	Fit
Bury Lane	42d ago	Fit
Indication Court	70d ago	Fresh
The Liegeman	105d ago	Long break
Please Please Me	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.