Northumbrian Water Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Result
| Pos | Horse | SP |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10/11F | |
| 2nd | 6/5 | |
| 3rd | 200/1 | |
| 4th | 9/2 | |
| 5th | 150/1 | |
| 6th | 50/1 | |
| 7th | 125/1 |
| # | Horse | Form | Odds | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (4) |
Love Lies
J:Daniel Tudhope
T:Archie Watson
|
41 |
10/11
52%
|
|||||||||||||
| 6f Ayr maiden win last month; more to come and should make bold bid to defy penalty | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 (6) |
Thunder Princess
J:Rowan Scott
T:James Fanshawe
|
3 |
5/4
44%
|
|||||||||||||
| Promise when third on 7f turf debut last month; likely improver and leading claims | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 (7) |
Charencey
J:Paddy Mathers
T:Ian Williams
|
73 |
9/2
18%
|
|||||||||||||
| Showed some promise in two outings over 7f on turf last month; more to come | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 (2) |
Hello Menahi
J:Jason Hart
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
|
— |
50
2%
|
|||||||||||||
| 100-1, always rear on 7f Redcar debut four weeks ago; can only watch after that | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 (3) |
Margot Robbie
J:Harry Russell
T:Geoff Oldroyd
|
— |
66
2%
|
|||||||||||||
| 66-1, tenth of 13 in 6f Southwell novice on her debut in February; lots more is required | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 (1) |
Bonny Scot
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
|
68 |
125
1%
|
|||||||||||||
| Down the field in sprint maiden/novice events on turf last month | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 (5) |
Minchinhampton
J:Connor Beasley
T:Alan Brown
|
8-0 |
150
1%
|
|||||||||||||
| Mayson filly who has offered little in two runs on turf just over a year apart | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 (8) |
Top Gun Tina
J:Sean Kirrane
T:David Thompson
|
— |
100
1%
|
|||||||||||||
| 150-1, lost ground at the start and always behind on 7f Doncaster debut 20 days ago | ||||||||||||||||
| Horse | bet365 | William Hill | Unibet | Boyle Sports | Ladbrokes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Love Lies
|
10/11 | 1 | 5/6 | 10/11 | 1 |
|
Thunder Princess
|
5/4 | 11/10 | 6/5 | 6/5 | 11/10 |
|
Charencey
|
5 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 5 |
|
Hello Menahi
|
50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 |
|
Margot Robbie
|
66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
|
Bonny Scot
|
100 | 125 | 100 | 80 | 125 |
|
Minchinhampton
|
150 | 125 | 66 | 125 | 125 |
|
Top Gun Tina
|
100 | 80 | 66 | 80 | 80 |
Predictor
Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.
Ratings
| Horse | OR | RPR | TS |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Love Lies |
— | ||
|
Thunder Princess |
— | — | |
|
Charencey |
— | — | |
|
Hello Menahi |
— | — | |
|
Margot Robbie |
— | ||
|
Bonny Scot |
— | — | |
|
Minchinhampton |
— | — | — |
|
Top Gun Tina |
— | — |
Last Run
| Horse | Last Run | Status |
|---|---|---|
|
Charencey |
15d ago | Fit |
|
Thunder Princess |
20d ago | Fit |
|
Top Gun Tina |
20d ago | Fit |
|
Love Lies |
22d ago | Fit |
|
Bonny Scot |
22d ago | Fit |
|
Hello Menahi |
27d ago | Fit |
|
Minchinhampton |
28d ago | Fit |
|
Margot Robbie |
199d ago | Long break |
Draw Bias
Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.
Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.
