United Living Group Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:20

United Living Group Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Sidneys Son Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	136	—	242621	70	77	52	16d	—	—	+5	26.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Came good on turf latest; second in C&D handicap off same mark earlier in year
NR (9)	Concert Boy Bay J:TBC T:David Omeara	J: T:David Omeara	135	p	279353	69	80	53	2d	—	—	-1	13.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner off 1lb lower in May; creditable third at Kempton on Wednesday; respected
4 (7)	Sun Power Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	138	v	768044	68	78	62	2d	—	—	-11	11.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
No win since 2021 but Wednesday's fourth at Southwell shows he arrives in reasonable form
10 (11)	Slippin Jimmy Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	p	-38423	67	76	51	27d	—	—	-1	16.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner; placed on turf last twice; bold show likely if reacting well to cheekpieces
2 (2)	Rocket Rod Bay J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	140	—	487134	70	79	10	20d	—	—	+5	15	1.63/1	13/2 13%
In good form on turf lately and is a former C&D winner; considered
12 (1)	Rockin Rosa Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	122	p	455321	56	77	63	24d	—	—	+10	19.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Came from well off pace to win over C&D latest; 4lb rise manageable; player
5 (10)	Ellabella Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	138	tp	5-4170	68	73	54	112d	—	—	-2	7.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good record on AW and interesting to see how she goes in betting on debut for Iain Jardine
3 (5)	Emperor Caradoc Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	139	—	-60833	69	75	-	30d	—	—	+3	12.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed twice on turf since joining this yard; AW debut; one of more likely types
6 (6)	Code Purple Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	137	—	321120	67	78	44	56d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ran no sort of race at Chester in July but in good form before that, including C&D win
11 (4)	Abnaa Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	132	b	789609	62	77	32	35d	—	—	+1	3.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Out of sorts lately but too well treated to dismiss over C&D which brings out best in him
9 (8)	Grey Force One Grey J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Chris Fairhurst	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Chris Fairhurst	134	v	58-609	68	77	15	21d	—	—	+3	5	16.25/1	66 2%
6f turf novice winner last summer but has largely struggled since
1 (12)	Mossbawn Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Neil Mechie	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Neil Mechie	142	—	40-007	72	71	-	59d	—	—	+4	5.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Mark in freefall but lots to prove after failing to beat rival in three runs for this yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sidneys Son	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Concert Boy	9/2	5	5	5	5
Sun Power	3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3
Slippin Jimmy	5	11/2	5	5	9/2
Rocket Rod	7	13/2	7	7	13/2
Rockin Rosa	9	8	7	8	8
Ellabella	15/2	8	15/2	15/2	7
Emperor Caradoc	9/1	9	9	17/2	9
Code Purple	14/1	12	14	14	12
Abnaa	28	28	22	25	33
Grey Force One	66	66	40	50	66
Mossbawn	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sidneys Son

26.2

OR: 5 Form: 15 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Rockin Rosa

19.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 15 Odds: 2.7

3rd

Code Purple

18.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Slippin Jimmy

16.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5

11/2

Rocket Rod

OR: 5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Concert Boy

13.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.2

9/2

Emperor Caradoc

12.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Sun Power

11.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Ellabella

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Mossbawn

5.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Grey Force One

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Abnaa

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mossbawn	72	71	—
Sidneys Son	70	77	52
Rocket Rod	70	79	10
Concert Boy	69	80	53
Emperor Caradoc	69	75	—
Sun Power	68	78	62
Ellabella	68	73	54
Grey Force One	68	77	15
Slippin Jimmy	67	76	51
Code Purple	67	78	44
Abnaa	62	77	32
Rockin Rosa	56	77	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Concert Boy	2d ago	Quick return
Sun Power	2d ago	Quick return
Sidneys Son	16d ago	Fit
Rocket Rod	20d ago	Fit
Grey Force One	21d ago	Fit
Rockin Rosa	24d ago	Fit
Slippin Jimmy	27d ago	Fit
Emperor Caradoc	30d ago	Fit
Abnaa	35d ago	Fit
Code Purple	56d ago	Fresh
Mossbawn	59d ago	Fresh
Ellabella	112d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.