Skyline Roofing Centre's Nursery Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:55

Skyline Roofing Centre's Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 27.17s (slow by 2.57s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Irrelevant (IRE) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	100/30	Won
2nd	Due Consideration (GB) Connor Murtagh · Adrian Nicholls	11/4F	5
3rd	Brooklyn Express (IRE) Frederick Larson · Amy Murphy	8/1	3
4th	Search (GB) Dylan Hogan · John Butler	16/1	2
5th	Aspire To Glory (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	4/1	0.2
6th	Mbappe (GB) Ross Coakley · Ed Walker	5/1	1.5
7th	Tentatively (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Jamie Osborne	28/1	.75
8th	Eagle Landed (GB) Molly Presland · John Butler	80/1	.5
9th	Qandil (IRE) Tyrese Cameron · Richard Hannon	40/1	.5
10th	Easel (GB) David Probert · Jonathan Portman	12/1	.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Due Consideration Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	130	—	7792	55	73	-	10d	—	—	-11	13.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Went very close off this mark at Musselburgh last week; major player back in trip
3 (5)	Aspire To Glory Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	132	t	0886	57	65	35	39d	—	—	-13	7.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Well held in all four runs and needs a transformation at this new trip; tongue-tie added
8 (3)	Irrelevant Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	129	b	98874	54	64	29	4d	—	—	-9	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Showed promise at Chepstow on Monday and he's in the mix back in trip; blinkers added
2 (2)	Mbappe Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	135	—	508	60	66	13	18d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Unexposed colt and he looks a possible improver upped to 7f on nursery debut
5 (9)	Search Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	131	—	091504	56	65	-	18d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Won at Brighton in June but has been disappointing in nurseries since; plenty to prove
1 (7)	Qandil Chestnut J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	137	—	333085	62	65	39	21d	—	—	0	6.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Six-race maiden who has struggled in last three starts and needs a major turnaround
7 (1)	Brooklyn Express Chestnut J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	129	b	6705P	54	62	-	16d	—	—	-5	3.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Well held in his first four runs and was pulled last time
4 (4)	Tentatively Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jamie Osborne	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jamie Osborne	132	—	8699	57	65	-	19d	—	—	-2	3.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Has struggled in three of her four runs including a Southwell nursery; plenty to prove
9 (6)	Easel Brown J:David Probert T:Jonathan Portman	J:David Probert T:Jonathan Portman	129	—	5794	54	52	23	25d	—	—	-2	2.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Has not progressed so far and she needs significant improvement back in trip
10 (10)	Eagle Landed Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:John Butler	J:Molly Presland(7) T:John Butler	120	—	0709	45	61	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Has struggled at big prices in all four runs including a 7f nursery; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Due Consideration	3	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Aspire To Glory	3	10/3	3	11/4	10/3
Irrelevant	5	5	9/2	5	5
Mbappe	5	11/2	5	5	5
Search	10	10	17/2	9	9
Qandil	14	14	14	14	14
Brooklyn Express	12	12	12	12	12
Tentatively	14	16	16	16	16
Easel	22	22	22	22	22
Eagle Landed	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Due Consideration

13.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Aspire To Glory

7.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Mbappe

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

6.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

Qandil

6.1

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Irrelevant

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Brooklyn Express

3.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Tentatively

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Easel

2.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Eagle Landed

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Qandil	62	65	39
Mbappe	60	66	13
Aspire To Glory	57	65	35
Tentatively	57	65	—
Search	56	65	—
Due Consideration	55	73	—
Irrelevant	54	64	29
Brooklyn Express	54	62	—
Easel	54	52	23
Eagle Landed	45	61	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Irrelevant	4d ago	Quick return
Due Consideration	10d ago	Quick return
Brooklyn Express	16d ago	Fit
Mbappe	18d ago	Fit
Search	18d ago	Fit
Tentatively	19d ago	Fit
Qandil	21d ago	Fit
Easel	25d ago	Fit
Eagle Landed	26d ago	Fit
Aspire To Glory	39d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.