Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) – Ascot

Ascot

15:10

Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2023-09-09

Distance 1m3f211y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £51,540

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Victory Dance Brown J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	135	b	213-34	102	109	78	27d	—	—	0	18.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Useful colt who brings Listed form; possibilities provided he stays the new trip
4 (3)	Alsakib Grey J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	120	—	2113	87	109	98	37d	—	—	+15	30.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran creditably at Glorious Goodwood; likely to do better still; interesting
7 (9)	True Legend Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	118	p	165128	85	115	91	14d	—	—	+8	20.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Largely progressive at this sort of distance; non-stayer over 1m6f last time
8 (4)	Gallant Lion Roan J:Saffie Osborne T:Tony Carroll	J:Saffie Osborne T:Tony Carroll	116	—	-01111	83	113	94	23d	—	—	+24	36.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Improving; scored at Windsor last month, completing a four-timer; major claims
9 (1)	Dancing In Paris Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Ian Williams	114	—	255232	81	114	102	30d	—	—	+8	21	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In decent form but others are more progressive
6 (5)	Overactive Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Ralph Beckett	J:Laura Pearson T:Ralph Beckett	118	—	374211	85	113	74	27d	—	—	+22	30.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Progressive in handicaps; recorded comfortable wins the last twice; respected
2 (6)	Struth Chestnut J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	130	p	033620	97	112	99	15d	—	—	+13	18.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Went very close in the Shergar Cup Classic over C&D two starts ago
5 (7)	Perfect Play Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Charlie Johnston	J:Hayley Turner T:Charlie Johnston	120	—	192232	87	114	93	7d	—	—	+17	21.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Largely consistent this term; second upped to 1m4f at Beverley last week
3 (2)	Benacre Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	127	p	424043	94	112	83	13d	—	—	+11	16.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Still unexposed over middle distances; could go well if aided by headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Victory Dance	4	7/2	4	4/1	7/2
Alsakib	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	4
True Legend	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Gallant Lion	6	11/2	6	6	5
Dancing In Paris	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Overactive	10	10	10	10	10
Struth	12	12	12	12	14
Perfect Play	14	14	14	14	16
Benacre	16	16	16	16	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gallant Lion

36.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 25 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Overactive

30.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 19.5 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Alsakib

30.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Perfect Play

21.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 11.1 Odds: 1.4

Dancing In Paris

OR: 7.8 Form: 9.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

True Legend

20.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Struth

18.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Victory Dance

18.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Benacre

16.4

OR: 11 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Victory Dance	102	109	78
Struth	97	112	99
Benacre	94	112	83
Alsakib	87	109	98
Perfect Play	87	114	93
True Legend	85	115	91
Overactive	85	113	74
Gallant Lion	83	113	94
Dancing In Paris	81	114	102

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perfect Play	7d ago	Quick return
Benacre	13d ago	Quick return
True Legend	14d ago	Fit
Struth	15d ago	Fit
Gallant Lion	23d ago	Fit
Victory Dance	27d ago	Fit
Overactive	27d ago	Fit
Dancing In Paris	30d ago	Fit
Alsakib	37d ago	Fit