Irish Stallion Farms EBF "Sovereign Path" Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Leopardstown

17:40

Date 2023-09-09

Distance 7f72y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €88,500

Runners (18)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12 (13)	Broadhurst Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	127	p	2-912	93	110	68	111d	—	—	+2	19.3	7/2 22%
Touched off in a Naas handicap in May when last seen; cheekpieces added; unexposed
4 (7)	Dunum Bay J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	139	—	-12031	101	109	93	34d	—	—	+17	32.8	9/2 18%
6lb rise not excessive for his Galway win and every chance of going close once more
3 (8)	Mutasarref Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	140	—	1-5453	102	109	82	23d	—	—	+14	22.4	17/2 11%
Last two runs at Galway and in the Desmond Stakes here indicate a return to his best
7 (9)	Hotrocket Chestnut J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	134	—	2-4110	96	112	80	34d	—	—	+8	17.9	15/2 12%
Unstuck on soft ground at Galway but should be much more at home under today's conditions
1 (10)	Bopedro Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	140	—	673001	102	107	97	22d	—	—	+19	25.8	12 8%
Back to form when winning a 1m handicap at Newmarket last month; more probably needed
8 (16)	Rhoscolyn Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:David Omeara	J:Oisin Murphy T:David Omeara	133	t	092101	95	111	94	14d	—	—	+23	29.7	11 9%
Goodwood winner latest; respected but has a bad draw to overcome here
15 (2)	No More Porter Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	121	t	474268	83	111	101	14d	—	—	+4	13.4	15/2 12%
Not beaten far in the Irish Cambridgeshire latest and likely to give a good account again
16 (4)	Kayhana Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	120	—	15-623	86	111	68	27d	—	—	+4	10.9	12 8%
Ran out of steam in a 1m handicap at the Curragh last time and maybe this trip will suit
NR (17)	Gypsy Woman Bay J:TBC T:G M Lyons	J: T:G M Lyons	125	—	-33101	91	110	96	10d	—	—	-26	46.8	18 6%
Bad draw but looks an improver and no surprise should she get into the shake-up
9 (5)	Darkness Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Omeara	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Omeara	131	v	227140	93	109	99	16d	—	—	+13	18.1	18 6%
Well below his best in a valuable York handicap last time; chance if he bounces back
10 (15)	Current Option Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	130	—	059890	92	109	96	14d	—	—	+7	11.9	16 6%
Out of form this year despite coming down the handicap and little cause for optimism
14 (14)	Urban Sprawl Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Charlie Johnston	J:Declan McDonogh T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	193694	90	110	83	14d	—	—	+8	12.1	20 5%
Fine third in the Britannia at Royal Ascot; below that form since and others preferred
2 (1)	Carrytheone Bay J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:J P Murtagh	140	ht	473326	102	109	88	22d	—	—	+16	20	25 4%
Not a factor in a soft ground Cork Listed last month; respected back in handicap company
6 (11)	I Am Superman Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D Ocallaghan	136	—	-34900	98	110	51	106d	—	—	+10	13.6	28 4%
Not much encouragement from two runs in big Curragh handicaps this year; others preferred
17 (18)	Cordouan Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Rory Cleary T:Adrian Mcguinness	119	—	384200	81	110	91	14d	—	—	+8	11.2	33 3%
Placed in small-field race; not disgraced in the Cambridgeshire last time but more needed
18 (6)	Ice Cold In Alex Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:K J Condon	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:K J Condon	119	t	490974	81	111	97	3d	—	—	+6	8.5	40 3%
Never really got involved in a 6f handicap at Cork on Wednesday; 6lb wrong here
11 (12)	Ransom Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Adrian Brendan Joyce	J:J M Sheridan T:Adrian Brendan Joyce	130	t	341-12	92	94	82	197d	—	—	+9	11	66 2%
Big ask here back on turf after a lengthy absence; others preferred
5 (3)	Hodds Girl Grey J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	137	—	453736	99	93	81	45d	—	—	+14	15.6	100 1%
Seven-time winner now rated 99; 1-17 turf record and looks vulnerable here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Broadhurst	4	4	4	4	7/2
Dunum	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mutasarref	9	8	8	9	17/2
Hotrocket	7	15/2	7	7	7/1
Bopedro	12	11	11/1	11	11/1
Rhoscolyn	11	11	10	11	11
No More Porter	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Kayhana	12	12	11	12	12
Gypsy Woman	16	16	18	16	16
Darkness	16	18	14	16	16
Current Option	14	16	14	16	16
Urban Sprawl	20	20	16	20	18
Carrytheone	25	22	18	22	22
I Am Superman	28	25	20	25	25
Cordouan	33	25	20	25	25
Ice Cold In Alex	40	33	25	33	33
Ransom	66	66	40	66	50
Hodds Girl	100	80	50	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gypsy Woman

46.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 20

2nd

Dunum

32.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Rhoscolyn

29.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 1.9

Bopedro

25.8

OR: 13 Form: 10.9 Odds: 1.9

Mutasarref

22.4

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Carrytheone

OR: 13 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.1

Broadhurst

19.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Darkness

18.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

Hotrocket

17.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hodds Girl

15.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100

I Am Superman

13.6

OR: 12 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

No More Porter

13.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Urban Sprawl

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

Current Option

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Cordouan

11.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

Ransom

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Kayhana

10.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ice Cold In Alex

8.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mutasarref	102	109	82
Bopedro	102	107	97
Carrytheone	102	109	88
Dunum	101	109	93
Hodds Girl	99	93	81
I Am Superman	98	110	51
Hotrocket	96	112	80
Rhoscolyn	95	111	94
Broadhurst	93	110	68
Darkness	93	109	99
Current Option	92	109	96
Ransom	92	94	82
Gypsy Woman	91	110	96
Urban Sprawl	90	110	83
Kayhana	86	111	68
No More Porter	83	111	101
Cordouan	81	110	91
Ice Cold In Alex	81	111	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ice Cold In Alex	3d ago	Quick return
Gypsy Woman	10d ago	Quick return
Rhoscolyn	14d ago	Fit
No More Porter	14d ago	Fit
Current Option	14d ago	Fit
Urban Sprawl	14d ago	Fit
Cordouan	14d ago	Fit
Darkness	16d ago	Fit
Bopedro	22d ago	Fit
Carrytheone	22d ago	Fit
Mutasarref	23d ago	Fit
Kayhana	27d ago	Fit
Dunum	34d ago	Fit
Hotrocket	34d ago	Fit
Hodds Girl	45d ago	Fit
I Am Superman	106d ago	Long break
Broadhurst	111d ago	Long break
Ransom	197d ago	Long break