National Racehorse Week Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

17:30

National Racehorse Week Handicap

Date 2023-09-09

Distance 5f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £18,900

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (14)	Haymaker Bay J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	129	—	-31420	88	109	85	33d	—	—	+7	20.6	9/2 18%
Has had excuses since Windsor win; drop back to 5f looks an interesting move; key player
9 (10)	Call Me Ginger Chestnut J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	128	—	654071	87	110	84	7d	—	—	+10	22.9	11/2 15%
Led late to win at Chester last week; goes well at Ascot; major player off 4lb higher
12 (12)	Swayze Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	126	—	143605	85	106	104	9d	—	—	+1	13	13/2 13%
Impressive at Haydock in May but hasn't repeated the form
6 (2)	Bedford Flyer Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	131	p	636002	90	108	93	21d	—	—	+6	19.6	11/2 15%
Clear signs of return to form last time; well treated on best efforts; leading candidate
13 (7)	Above Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Robert Cowell	J:Saffie Osborne T:Robert Cowell	125	t	703581	84	109	90	14d	—	—	+13	21.8	10 10%
Well suited by drop to 5f when scoring at Newmarket two weeks ago; could follow up
5 (9)	Navello Bay J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	131	tp	571310	90	106	82	39d	—	—	+16	23.7	10/1 9%
Won the Dash at Epsom on Derby day; poorly drawn next time; may well bounce back
1 (3)	Existent Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Stuart Williams	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Stuart Williams	138	hp	995026	97	107	98	28d	—	—	+9	17.5	10 10%
Only sixth over C&D last time; none too consistent; others have more obvious claims
10 (1)	Spring Bloom Chestnut J:Shane Kelly T:Robert Eddery	J:Shane Kelly T:Robert Eddery	127	—	106432	86	108	93	7d	—	—	+12	17.8	12/1 8%
Continued solid run of form with second at Sandown; should be in the thick of things again
4 (11)	Mountain Peak Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	131	—	8-0079	90	96	74	21d	—	—	+7	11.2	16 6%
Won this race in 2018; has optimum conditions but this year's efforts have promised little
14 (8)	Woolhampton Bay J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	125	b	552190	85	107	95	17d	—	—	+12	16.5	20 5%
Won a C&D fillies' race in July; will need improvement to go in again against the geldings
NR (13)	Mines A Double Bay J:Jason Watson T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Jason Watson T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	128	—	1/579-	87	101	-	434d	—	—	-34	36.3	25 4%
2022 was barren but he'd been progressive and won this race the previous year; new stable
2 (4)	Acklam Express Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	133	—	500670	92	106	71	9d	—	—	+7	11.9	16 6%
Seems on the downgrade and difficult to recommend despite a plunging mark
3 (6)	Fernando Rah Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	133	p	40-265	92	107	61	89d	—	—	+8	11.5	25/1 4%
Seen only sporadically in last 18 months; well held latest start; carries risks
11 (5)	Dynamic Force Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Robert Cowell	J:Robert Havlin T:Robert Cowell	127	—	40-690	86	104	100	176d	—	—	+7	9.7	33 3%
0-6 in Bahrain but successful in July 2022 on last British outing and returns to old yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Haymaker	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Call Me Ginger	6	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Swayze	6	11/2	13/2	6	6
Bedford Flyer	5	9/2	11/2	5	5
Above	10	9	10	9/1	10
Navello	10	9	10	10/1	9
Existent	10	9	9	10	10
Spring Bloom	12	11	12	12/1	11
Mountain Peak	16	16	16	16	16
Woolhampton	20	18	18	18	18
Mines A Double	25	25	25	25	25
Acklam Express	16	16	14	16	16
Fernando Rah	25	22	22	25/1	22
Dynamic Force	33	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mines A Double

36.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 20

2nd

Navello

23.7

OR: 10 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Call Me Ginger

22.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Above

21.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.4

Haymaker

20.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

9/2

Bedford Flyer

19.6

OR: 10 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

11/2

Spring Bloom

17.8

OR: 9 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Existent

17.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

Woolhampton

16.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.2

Swayze

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Acklam Express

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Fernando Rah

11.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Mountain Peak

11.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dynamic Force

9.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Existent	97	107	98
Acklam Express	92	106	71
Fernando Rah	92	107	61
Bedford Flyer	90	108	93
Navello	90	106	82
Mountain Peak	90	96	74
Haymaker	88	109	85
Call Me Ginger	87	110	84
Mines A Double	87	101	—
Spring Bloom	86	108	93
Dynamic Force	86	104	100
Swayze	85	106	104
Woolhampton	85	107	95
Above	84	109	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Call Me Ginger	7d ago	Quick return
Spring Bloom	7d ago	Quick return
Swayze	9d ago	Quick return
Acklam Express	9d ago	Quick return
Above	14d ago	Fit
Woolhampton	17d ago	Fit
Bedford Flyer	21d ago	Fit
Mountain Peak	21d ago	Fit
Existent	28d ago	Fit
Haymaker	33d ago	Fit
Navello	39d ago	Fit
Fernando Rah	89d ago	Fresh
Dynamic Force	176d ago	Long break
Mines A Double	434d ago	Long break