Blake Newport Associates Restricted Maiden Stakes (For horses In Band D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Date 2023-09-11

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 42.61s (slow by 5.61s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Child Of Lir (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Rebecca Menzies	10/1	Won
2nd	Hidden Code (IRE) Graham Lee · Ollie Pears	4/1	1
3rd	Dream Final (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	1/2F	0.2
4th	Muddagent (GB) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	18/1	3.75
5th	Aurora Glory (IRE) Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	12/1	5.5
6th	Jamie's Choice (GB) Connor Beasley · Tracy Waggott	28/1	21

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Dream Final Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	133	b	5-53	68	66	20	241d	—	—	-31	23.9	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Solid third at this course when last seen; leading contender on return from absence
4 (3)	Hidden Code Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	133	—	253604	55	66	59	13d	—	—	-12	7.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Exposed sort but has a fighting chance granted a return to his best form
2 (6)	Child Of Lir Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	133	p	2376	52	57	-	23d	—	—	-1	5.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Runner-up in claimer on sole Irish start; below that form for new yard; headgear on
5 (1)	Aurora Glory Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	128	—	927360	56	71	36	12d	—	—	-2	6.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Comparatively exposed but the new trip may have positive effect
6 (5)	Jamies Choice Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Starts off at an ordinary level but her yard isn't associated with winning newcomers
1 (2)	Muddagent Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	138	—	7-	-	32	-	332d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Absent since an unpromising debut 11 months ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dream Final	8/13	4/6	8/13	8/13	4/6
Hidden Code	7/2	7/2	3	10/3	7/2
Child Of Lir	11	11	12	11	11
Aurora Glory	10	17/2	17/2	8	8
Jamies Choice	16	16	16	16	16
Muddagent	33	25	22	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dream Final

23.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 19.4

4/6

2nd

Hidden Code

7.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Aurora Glory

6.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

Child Of Lir

5.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

Jamies Choice

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Muddagent

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dream Final	68	66	20
Aurora Glory	56	71	36
Hidden Code	55	66	59
Child Of Lir	52	57	—
Jamies Choice	—	—	—
Muddagent	—	32	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aurora Glory	12d ago	Quick return
Hidden Code	13d ago	Quick return
Child Of Lir	23d ago	Fit
Dream Final	241d ago	Long break
Muddagent	332d ago	Long break
Jamies Choice	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.