Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (8)	Sparklight Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	2243	68	79	57	16d	—	—	-8	19.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Runner-up here in first two starts and she's reached the frame last twice; solid contender
2 (2)	Fair Angellica Bay J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Harry Angel filly; hood is applied on debut and market should be informative
5 (7)	Lincoln Royal Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	128	t	37	-	75	-	76d	—	—	-13	8.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Looks interesting on her initial form and is not ruled out on her return; tongue-tie on
11 (12)	Shallow Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Yard 2-16 with juveniles this season and market should be informative on debut
7 (5)	Nelson Rose Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	128	h	762450	67	78	36	20d	—	—	0	8.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Inconsistent six-race maiden but has claims if she can bounce back near her best
9 (9)	Priscillas Joy Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Philip Mcbride	J:Rossa Ryan T:Philip Mcbride	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Half-sister to three useful winners and she needs checking in the market on debut
4 (1)	Imola Bay J:J F Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:J F Egan T:Darryll Holland	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Has speed and stamina in her pedigree and market should guide on debut
3 (11)	Iffraaj Queen Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
15,000gns yearling; drawn wide on debut and is best watched unless market is persuasive
1 (10)	Bella Grazia Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Darragh Keenan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	8	-	45	17	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Didn't shown much on recent Chelmsford debut and she's probably a longer-term prospect
10 (4)	Rosadilly Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	9	-	28	-	37d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
50-1 at Windsor (6f, soft) last month and she finished a remote ninth of 13; best watched
6 (6)	Mamies Dream Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ryan Potter	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Ryan Potter	128	—	08	-	47	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Massive prices and she struggled on turf (6f) and AW (7f) in her two runs last month
8 (3)	Pearl Of Rowdown Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Has plenty of speed in her pedigree but yard is 0-28 in 2yo maidens in recent years

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sparklight	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Fair Angellica	7/2	11/4	10/3	3	3
Lincoln Royal	7/2	10/3	4	7/2	7/2
Shallow	7	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Nelson Rose	9	10	9	8	9
Priscillas Joy	10	10	9	9	9
Imola	20	20	20	20	20
Iffraaj Queen	25	33	28	28	28
Bella Grazia	66	80	66	66	66
Rosadilly	66	66	50	66	66
Mamies Dream	100	100	80	66	80
Pearl Of Rowdown	33	66	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sparklight

19.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Lincoln Royal

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Nelson Rose

8.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Fair Angellica

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

7/2

Shallow

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Priscillas Joy

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Imola

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Iffraaj Queen

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Pearl Of Rowdown

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Bella Grazia

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Rosadilly

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Mamies Dream

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sparklight	68	79	57
Nelson Rose	67	78	36
Fair Angellica	—	—	—
Lincoln Royal	—	75	—
Shallow	—	—	—
Priscillas Joy	—	—	—
Imola	—	—	—
Iffraaj Queen	—	—	—
Bella Grazia	—	45	17
Rosadilly	—	28	—
Mamies Dream	—	47	—
Pearl Of Rowdown	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Grazia	11d ago	Quick return
Mamies Dream	14d ago	Fit
Sparklight	16d ago	Fit
Nelson Rose	20d ago	Fit
Rosadilly	37d ago	Fit
Lincoln Royal	76d ago	Fresh
Fair Angellica	—	—
Shallow	—	—
Priscillas Joy	—	—
Imola	—	—
Iffraaj Queen	—	—
Pearl Of Rowdown	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.