Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 2m 21.95s (slow by 4.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Folk Star (GB) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	5/2F	Won
2nd	Alpha Female (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ed de Giles	17/2	.5
3rd	Showlan Spirit (GB) Tom Marquand · George Baker	25/1	6
4th	Rose Light (GB) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	7/2	1.25
5th	Bush Rose (GB) J F Egan · Phil McEntee	125/1	1.75
6th	Crazy Maisie (IRE) Christian Howarth · Mark Hoad	33/1	0.3
7th	Daphne May (GB) Hector Crouch · Gary Moore	16/5	2.5
8th	Strictly Dreaming (GB) William Buick · Ian Williams	16/5	14

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Daphne May Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Gary Moore	J:Hector Crouch T:Gary Moore	142	—	461215	68	74	55	30d	—	—	0	24.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Four wins this year and she ran well from a tough draw over C&D last time; respected
2 (8)	Rose Light Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	138	—	-30562	64	74	59	30d	—	—	-5	14.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-9 but she went close off a reduced mark over C&D last time; key player
4 (3)	Folk Star Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	130	—	-73733	63	72	66	14d	—	—	-5	15	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-7 but she finished close up here in last two runs and should go well again
5 (2)	Strictly Dreaming Bay J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	J:William Buick T:Ian Williams	129	—	-92036	62	72	11	12d	—	—	-6	11.8	0.75/1	4 25%
0-9 but has claims on her best form and she's still unexposed on AW; not ruled out
8 (7)	Alpha Female Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed De Giles	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed De Giles	125	—	8603	58	68	42	13d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Still lightly raced but she needs improvement back up in trip
3 (5)	Showlan Spirit Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:George Baker	J:Tom Marquand T:George Baker	134	—	7/67-6	60	66	40	63d	—	—	-2	4.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Well held in all four runs and not sure this new trip will suit on pedigree; down the list
6 (6)	Crazy Maisie Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Mark Hoad	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Mark Hoad	128	—	242660	54	77	70	86d	—	—	-1	3.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Just one win from 16 starts and she's been out of sorts in last four runs; opposable
7 (1)	Bush Rose Bay J:J F Egan T:Phil Mcentee	J:J F Egan T:Phil Mcentee	126	h	4-4737	59	74	61	13d	—	—	0	3	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held in four runs for Roger Varian and she struggled on her stable debut last month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Daphne May	3	11/4	5/2	3	11/4
Rose Light	10/3	7/2	10/3	3	3
Folk Star	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Strictly Dreaming	4	4	4	4	4
Alpha Female	8	9	17/2	8	17/2
Showlan Spirit	14	12	12	12	12
Crazy Maisie	20	18	16	18	18
Bush Rose	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Daphne May

24.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Folk Star

OR: 3.3 Form: 6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Rose Light

14.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Strictly Dreaming

11.8

OR: 3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.2

Alpha Female

7.4

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Showlan Spirit

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Crazy Maisie

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

Bush Rose

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Daphne May	68	74	55
Rose Light	64	74	59
Folk Star	63	72	66
Strictly Dreaming	62	72	11
Showlan Spirit	60	66	40
Bush Rose	59	74	61
Alpha Female	58	68	42
Crazy Maisie	54	77	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Strictly Dreaming	12d ago	Quick return
Alpha Female	13d ago	Quick return
Bush Rose	13d ago	Quick return
Folk Star	14d ago	Fit
Daphne May	30d ago	Fit
Rose Light	30d ago	Fit
Showlan Spirit	63d ago	Fresh
Crazy Maisie	86d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.