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Kempton (AW)

20:30

Bet @racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-09-18
Distance 1m2f219y
Class Class 6
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (8)
Geelong
Bay
J:Tom Marquand
T:Paul & Oliver Cole
J:Tom Marquand
T:Paul & Oliver Cole
 135 b 634325
56
69
64
 25d — — -4
11.5
1.13/1
9/2
18%
More than capable at this level but, while he can pull hard, this trip is a bare minimum
NR (14)
Frankfreya
Bay
J:Frederick Larson(3)
T:Roger Teal
J:Frederick Larson(3)
T:Roger Teal
 132 — 4-9781
59
67
45
 18d — — -14
9.3
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Drawn on the outside off his 6lb higher mark but is lightly raced and may well be up to it
10 (2)
Albus Anne
Bay
J:Alec Voikhansky(5)
T:Jimmy Fox
J:Alec Voikhansky(5)
T:Jimmy Fox
 131 — 7-2353
52
69
-
 33d — — -10
4.5
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Best efforts have come on soft turf (well held in five runs on the AW, all here)
13 (9)
Storm Valley
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Andrew Balding
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Andrew Balding
 130 — 543354
57
70
26
 7d — — -6
8.2
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Has the ability to win off the mark but hard to keep giving her the benefit of the doubt
1 (7)
Mitigator
Bay
J:Dylan Hogan
T:Jack Jones
J:Dylan Hogan
T:Jack Jones
 138 b 37192-
59
70
-
 488d — — +4
16.2
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Now with his fourth yard returning from a lengthy absence; the market will be useful
4 (13)
Largo Bay
Chestnut
J:George Rooke
T:Michael Madgwick
J:George Rooke
T:Michael Madgwick
 135 v 945443
56
76
38
 14d — — -4
7.8
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Offering more on turf lately; one of the likelier winners switched to a first-time visor
12 (10)
Smart Charger
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:Tony Carroll
J:Neil Callan
T:Tony Carroll
 130 — 8-0966
57
68
-
 14d — — -8
5.8
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Good headway from some way back latest; is low mileage and that gave something to build on
6 (11)
Hildegard
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Archie Watson
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Archie Watson
 133 p 473345
60
69
58
 17d — — -1
7.3
2.50/1
11
9%
Maiden who's had plenty of chances in ordinary handicaps this summer; stamina to prove
9 (1)
Goodwood Vision
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:David Menuisier
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:David Menuisier
 131 — 3-7744
58
69
-
 14d — — -1
6.2
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Best effort yet last time on her first crack at 1m2f; one of the more interesting runners
NR (12)
Pysanka
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Mark Loughnane
J:Finley Marsh
T:Mark Loughnane
 132 p 507746
53
74
48
 22d — — -7
3.6
3.25/1
14
7%
Looks worth a try over this longer trip; holds each-way claims in an open handicap
11 (4)
Delvey
Bay
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Karen Jewell
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Karen Jewell
 131 — 7-0677
52
67
52
 14d — — -2
1.4
6.00/1
25
4%
Regressive maiden who was well held on turf last time; is some way down the pecking order
14 (6)
Bear Force
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
J:Rob Hornby
T:Jonathan Portman
 130 — 5-8705
57
66
25
 76d — — -1
2.6
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Four poor efforts this year and is hard to make a case for back from an 11-week break
2 (3)
Extinction
b/br
J:Minty Bloss(7)
T:James Ferguson
J:Minty Bloss(7)
T:James Ferguson
 138 — 36046
59
66
9
 41d — — 0
3.8
7.00/1
28/1
3%
The return to Polytrack and much longer trip are the two possible angles in with him
3 (5)
Seattle King
Bay
J:Josephine Gordon
T:Phil Mcentee
J:Josephine Gordon
T:Phil Mcentee
 137 — 214157
58
67
-
 111d — — +7
9.6
12.25/1
50
2%
Regressed sharply last year; said to have been unsuited by firm ground when last seen
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Geelong
 9/2 4 9/2 9/2 4
Frankfreya
 4 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2
Albus Anne
 11/2 5 9/2 5/1 5
Storm Valley
 6 11/2 5 11/2 6
Mitigator
 13/2 6 11/2 13/2 13/2
Largo Bay
 13/2 6/1 11/2 13/2 13/2
Smart Charger
 9/2 13/2 6 6 13/2
Hildegard
 11 10 8 10/1 10
Goodwood Vision
 10 10 9 10/1 10
Pysanka
 14 11 11 11 11
Delvey
 25 25 22 25 25
Bear Force
 28 28/1 22 25 25
Extinction
 28 28/1 22 25/1 25
Seattle King
 50 40 33 40 40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Mitigator
16.2
OR: 2.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.3
13/2
2nd Geelong
11.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4.4
9/2
3rd Seattle King
9.6
OR: 2 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6
50
4 Frankfreya
9.3
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7
9/2
5 Storm Valley
8.2
OR: 1.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 4
11/2
6 Largo Bay
7.8
OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3
13/2
7 Hildegard
7.3
OR: 2.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2.4
11
8 Goodwood Vision
6.2
OR: 2 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1
10/1
9 Smart Charger
5.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4
13/2
10 Albus Anne
4.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4
11/2
11 Extinction
3.8
OR: 2.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1
28/1
12 Pysanka
3.6
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
14
13 Bear Force
2.6
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
28/1
14 Delvey
1.4
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
25

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Hildegard
60
69
58
Frankfreya
59
67
45
Mitigator
59
70
 —
Extinction
59
66
9
Goodwood Vision
58
69
 —
Seattle King
58
67
 —
Storm Valley
57
70
26
Smart Charger
57
68
 —
Bear Force
57
66
25
Geelong
56
69
64
Largo Bay
56
76
38
Pysanka
53
74
48
Albus Anne
52
69
 —
Delvey
52
67
52

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Storm Valley 7d ago Quick return
Largo Bay 14d ago Fit
Smart Charger 14d ago Fit
Goodwood Vision 14d ago Fit
Delvey 14d ago Fit
Hildegard 17d ago Fit
Frankfreya 18d ago Fit
Pysanka 22d ago Fit
Geelong 25d ago Fit
Albus Anne 33d ago Fit
Extinction 41d ago Fit
Bear Force 76d ago Fresh
Seattle King 111d ago Long break
Mitigator 488d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.