Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year Nursery Handicap

Kempton (AW)

16:52

Date 2023-09-18

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 27.17s (slow by 2.57s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cherry Hill (GB) Oisin Murphy · Dominic Ffrench Davis	12/1	Won
2nd	Diddy Man (GB) Richard Kingscote · Tom Dascombe	9/2	0.3
3rd	Pinpoint (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	100/30J	3.75
4th	Naturalia (GB) Rossa Ryan · Rae Guest	11/1	.5
5th	Rising Force (IRE) Dylan Hogan · Robert Eddery	100/30J	0.2
6th	Ritzy (GB) Tom Marquand · Sylvester Kirk	50/1	1.75
7th	Time Signature (GB) Neil Callan · William Knight	9/2	.5
8th	Mist Of Lir (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Amy Murphy	20/1	0.3
9th	Vidi Vici (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Eve Johnson Houghton	33/1	.75
10th	Lady Showcasing (GB) Archie Young · Charlie Johnston	66/1	2
11th	Newfangled (IRE) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	17/2	2.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Pinpoint Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	136	—	797132	61	68	63	12d	—	—	-2	22.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Bath nursery winner last month and beaten a head last time; respected
9 (4)	Rising Force Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	J:Dylan Hogan T:Robert Eddery	129	—	707912	54	67	61	2d	—	—	-1	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won at Chelmsford earlier this month and second at Lingfield on Saturday; shortlisted
3 (2)	Diddy Man Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Dascombe	J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Dascombe	135	p	760538	60	64	-	26d	—	—	-6	9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran well on penultimate start and half-brother to an AW winner so worth a second look
7 (11)	Newfangled Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	133	—	968	58	61	-	17d	—	—	-7	5.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Brother to the stable's dual course winner Two Tempting, but the outside stall not ideal
5 (7)	Time Signature Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	J:Neil Callan T:William Knight	134	—	08879	59	61	-	54d	—	—	-4	4.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No closer than seventh in five starts; interesting to see if money comes again on AW debut
1 (1)	Naturalia Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Rae Guest	J:Rossa Ryan T:Rae Guest	137	—	658	62	62	20	12d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Well held in first three starts, but bred to be suited by the longer trip on nursery debut
8 (10)	Cherry Hill Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Oisin Murphy T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	133	—	343P3	58	63	38	35d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.50/1	11 9%
In the frame in all four completed starts; return to 7f should suit; each-way claims
11 (8)	Mist Of Lir Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	120	p	747455	45	64	53	7d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
In the frame on three occasions, but now 0-11 and vulnerable to less exposed rivals
10 (9)	Vidi Vici Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Eve Johnson Houghton	122	—	827575	47	66	-	14d	—	—	-1	1.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Out of the frame in all four nurseries over 5f-1m; needs to improve for switch to the AW
4 (3)	Lady Showcasing Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	625866	59	67	61	19d	—	—	+1	4.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Beaten less than a length on her second start, but well held since; stamina a concern
6 (5)	Ritzy Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Tom Marquand T:Sylvester Kirk	133	—	0078	58	64	-	21d	—	—	0	2.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-sister to a dual AW winner and bred to be suited by the longer trip,

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Pinpoint	5/2	3	11/4	3/1	3
Rising Force	4	7/2	3/1	7/2	7/2
Diddy Man	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Newfangled	13/2	6	5	6	6
Time Signature	8	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Naturalia	10	9	9	9	9
Cherry Hill	11	10	9	10	11
Mist Of Lir	33	25	25	25	28
Vidi Vici	28	33	28	33/1	33
Lady Showcasing	33	28	22	28/1	33
Ritzy	28	33	28/1	33/1	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pinpoint

22.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Rising Force

18.7

OR: 1 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Diddy Man

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Cherry Hill

8.2

OR: 2 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.1

Newfangled

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Naturalia

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Time Signature

4.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Lady Showcasing

4.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

Ritzy

2.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Vidi Vici

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Mist Of Lir

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Naturalia	62	62	20
Pinpoint	61	68	63
Diddy Man	60	64	—
Time Signature	59	61	—
Lady Showcasing	59	67	61
Newfangled	58	61	—
Cherry Hill	58	63	38
Ritzy	58	64	—
Rising Force	54	67	61
Vidi Vici	47	66	—
Mist Of Lir	45	64	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rising Force	2d ago	Quick return
Mist Of Lir	7d ago	Quick return
Pinpoint	12d ago	Quick return
Naturalia	12d ago	Quick return
Vidi Vici	14d ago	Fit
Newfangled	17d ago	Fit
Lady Showcasing	19d ago	Fit
Ritzy	21d ago	Fit
Diddy Man	26d ago	Fit
Cherry Hill	35d ago	Fit
Time Signature	54d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.